Atlético Tucumán 1-2 Argentinos Juniors: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Argentinos Juniors won it

Argentinos Juniors struck first through Matías Giménez in the 30th minute, set up by Franco Paredes. An own goal by Clever Ferreira made it 0-2 to Argentinos Juniors in the 43rd minute. Alexis Canelo from the penalty spot made it 1-2 to Atlético Tucumán in the 86th minute.

It was 0-2 at half-time.

Luciano Vallejo of Atlético Tucumán was sent off in the 90th minute (+1) for a second yellow card. The referee, Y. Falcón Pérez, showed 9 yellow cards: 4 to Atlético Tucumán and 5 to Argentinos Juniors.

Atlético Tucumán: J. Falcioni, 4-1-4-1 · Argentinos Juniors: N. Diez Parajon, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.00, and on 1-2 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an Argentinos Juniors win at 37%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.0 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 33%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 41%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-02, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.50 for Atlético Tucumán and 1.36 for Argentinos Juniors.

Atlético Tucumán had 3 shots on target, Argentinos Juniors 2.

Argentinos Juniors had 52% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Atlético Tucumán came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.08 against, and had won 22% of their matches.

Argentinos Juniors came into it with 35 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.24 against, and had won 54% of their matches.

Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Franco Paredes (Argentinos Juniors), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Atlético Tucumán

• Rodrigo Granillo 7.1
• Lautaro Godoy 7.1
• Leonel Di Plácido 7.1
• Facundo Pimienta 7.0
• Manuel Brondo 6.9

Argentinos Juniors

• Franco Paredes 7.7 1 assist
• Matías Giménez 7.2 1 goal
• Kevin Gutiérrez 7.2
• Diego Porcel 7.0
• Érik Godoy 6.9

The lowest-rated starter was Nicolás Laméndola at 5.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Argentinos Juniors: Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Saturday 21 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors

What was the score in Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?

Atlético Tucumán 1-2 Argentinos Juniors (half-time 0-2), Liga Profesional Argentina, Tuesday 3 November 2026.

Who scored in Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?

Matías Giménez 30', Alexis Canelo 86'.

Did Moneyball predict Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.00, and on 1-2 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?

Franco Paredes, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?

Y. Falcón Pérez.