Athletico PR 1-3 Vasco da Gama: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Vasco da Gama won it

Athletico PR struck first through Stiven Mendoza in the 22nd minute, set up by Luiz Gustavo. Vasco da Gama levelled at 1-1 in the 61st minute through an own goal by Juan Felipe Aguirre. Vasco da Gama turned it round: Bruno Duarte made it 1-2 in the 63rd minute, set up by José Luis Rodríguez. Gabriel Pereira made it 1-3 to Vasco da Gama in the 67th minute, set up by Facundo Colidio.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

Kevin Viveros of Athletico PR was sent off in the 77th minute. The referee, R. Abatti, showed 4 yellow cards: 3 to Athletico PR and 1 to Vasco da Gama.

Athletico PR: O. Hellmann, 3-4-2-1 · Vasco da Gama: P. dos Santos Martins Silva, 3-5-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Athletico PR win the likeliest outcome (40%), and a Vasco da Gama win, at 34%, is what happened.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 56%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 60%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.86 for Athletico PR and 0.52 for Vasco da Gama.

Vasco da Gama made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 2.5 goals.

Athletico PR had 3 shots on target, Vasco da Gama 3.

Athletico PR had 51% of the ball, but Vasco da Gama took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Athletico PR came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.32 expected goals for and 1.56 against, and had won 44% of their matches.

Vasco da Gama came into it with 33 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.70 expected goals for and 1.03 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Athletico PR vs Vasco da Gama: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Gabriel Pereira (Vasco da Gama), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Athletico PR

• Stiven Mendoza 7.5 1 goal
• Lucas Esquivel 7.2
• Luiz Gustavo 7.0 1 assist
• Leozinho 6.8
• Juan Portilla 6.8

Vasco da Gama

• Gabriel Pereira 7.7 1 goal
• José Luis Rodríguez 7.5 1 assist
• Bruno Duarte 7.2 1 goal
• Cuiabano 7.2
• Alan Saldivia 7.2

The lowest-rated starter was Kevin Viveros at 5.6. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Athletico PR: Flamengo vs Athletico PR Wednesday 18 November 2026 · Brasileirão
• Vasco da Gama: Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama Saturday 14 November 2026 · Brasileirão

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Athletico PR vs Vasco da Gama

What was the score in Athletico PR vs Vasco da Gama?

Athletico PR 1-3 Vasco da Gama (half-time 1-0), Brasileirão, Wednesday 4 November 2026.

Who scored in Athletico PR vs Vasco da Gama?

Stiven Mendoza 22', Bruno Duarte 63', Gabriel Pereira 67'.

Did Moneyball predict Athletico PR vs Vasco da Gama correctly?

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Athletico PR win the likeliest outcome (40%), and a Vasco da Gama win, at 34%, is what happened.

Who was man of the match in Athletico PR vs Vasco da Gama?

Gabriel Pereira, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Athletico PR vs Vasco da Gama?

R. Abatti.