Atalanta 1-1 Kairat: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November 2026 · Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo · referee J. Weinberger · full time
Full time: Atalanta 1-1 Kairat
Atalanta and Kairat drew 1-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 3 on Thursday 5 November 2026 at Gewiss Stadium. The goals: Marc Gual 53', Nikola Krstović 82'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
Kairat struck first through Marc Gual in the 53rd minute, set up by Edmilson. Atalanta levelled at 1-1 in the 82nd minute through Nikola Krstović, set up by Relja Obrić.
It was 0-0 at half-time.
The referee, J. Weinberger, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to Atalanta and 4 to Kairat.
Atalanta: M. Sarri, 4-2-3-1 · Kairat: R. Urazbakhtin, 5-3-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Atalanta -2.00, and on 1-1 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was an Atalanta win at 78%; a draw, at 14%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (12%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.5 and the match produced two.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 66%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 49%; both did, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had an Atalanta win at 78%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Atalanta had 7 shots on target, Kairat 3.
Kairat's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Atalanta had 70% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Atalanta came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.70 expected goals for and – against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Kairat came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 0.76 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Atalanta vs Kairat: the match in numbers
| Atalanta | Match statistics | Kairat |
|---|---|---|
| 70% | Ball possession | 30% |
| 16 | Total shots | 7 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 2 | Big chances | 1 |
| 703 | Total passes | 308 |
| 90% | Pass accuracy | 72% |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 14 | Tackles | 22 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Relja Obrić (Atalanta), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.
Atalanta
- Relja Obrić 7.7 1 assist
- Jonathan Rowe 7.6
- Mario Pašalić 7.5
- Nikola Krstović 7.5 1 goal
- Eljif Elmas 7.2
Kairat
- Marc Gual 7.6 1 goal
- Edmilson 7.3 1 assist
- Temirlan Anarbekov 7.2
- Jaakko Oksanen 7.0
- Aleksandr Martynovich 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Aleksandr Mrynskiy at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Atalanta: Atalanta vs Inter Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
- Kairat: Kairat vs Mjällby Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Atalanta vs Kairat
What was the score in Atalanta vs Kairat?
Atalanta 1-1 Kairat (half-time 0-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 5 November 2026.
Who scored in Atalanta vs Kairat?
Marc Gual 53', Nikola Krstović 82'.
Did Moneyball predict Atalanta vs Kairat correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Atalanta -2.00, and on 1-1 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Atalanta vs Kairat?
Relja Obrić, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Atalanta vs Kairat?
J. Weinberger.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.