Arsenal 1-0 Hull City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Arsenal won it

Arsenal struck first through Martin Ødegaard in the 72nd minute.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, F. Hallam, showed 6 yellow cards: 0 to Arsenal and 6 to Hull City.

Arsenal: M. Arteta, 4-2-3-1 · Hull City: S. Jakirović, 5-3-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Arsenal Win, and on the half-time score, 0-0 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an Arsenal win at 81%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (14%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.2 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 41%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Arsenal win at 82%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.35 for Arsenal and 1.63 for Hull City.

Hull City left about 1.6 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Hull City created the better chances, 1.63 xG to 0.35, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Arsenal to create more, and Hull City did.

Arsenal had 10 shots on target, Hull City 2.

Hull City's goalkeeper made 9 saves.

Arsenal had 67% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Arsenal came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 1.73 expected goals for and 0.89 against, and had won 90% of their matches.

Hull City came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 0.96 expected goals for and 1.51 against, and had won 20% of their matches.

Arsenal vs Hull City: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Noni Madueke (Arsenal), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Arsenal

• Noni Madueke 8.3
• Martin Ødegaard 8.1 1 goal
• Ezri Konsa 7.5
• Christos Tzolis 7.5
• Bruno Guimarães 7.3

Hull City

• Konstantinos Tzolakis 8.3
• Semi Ajayi 7.7
• John Egan 7.0
• Regan Slater 6.8
• Christos Mouzakitis 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Mohamed-Ali Cho at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Arsenal: Newcastle United vs Arsenal Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
• Hull City: Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Sunday 22 November 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Arsenal vs Hull City

What was the score in Arsenal vs Hull City?

Arsenal 1-0 Hull City (half-time 0-0), Premier League, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Arsenal vs Hull City?

Martin Ødegaard 72'.

Did Moneyball predict Arsenal vs Hull City correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Arsenal Win, and on the half-time score, 0-0 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Arsenal vs Hull City?

Noni Madueke, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Arsenal vs Hull City?

F. Hallam.