MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Argentinos Juniors 0-2 Huracán: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Argentinos Juniors 0-2 Huracán

Huracán beat Argentinos Juniors 2-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 16 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona. The goals: Óscar Cortés 8', Bruno Barticciotto 31'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Huracán won it

The opening goal came in the 8th minute: Óscar Cortés for Huracán, set up by Facundo Kalinger. Bruno Barticciotto made it 0-2 to Huracán in the 31st minute, set up by Facundo Kalinger.

It was 0-2 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

Franco Paredes of Argentinos Juniors was sent off in the 25th minute. Nicolás Diez of Argentinos Juniors was sent off in the 29th minute. The referee, P. Dóvalo, showed 6 yellow cards: 1 to Argentinos Juniors and 5 to Huracán.

Argentinos Juniors: N. Diez Parajon, 4-3-3 · Huracán: D. Martínez, 3-1-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Argentinos Juniors win the likeliest outcome (51%), and a Huracán win, at 21%, is what happened. At 21%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 5.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.3 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 40%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 44%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.07 for Argentinos Juniors and 0.80 for Huracán.

Argentinos Juniors scored about 2.1 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Huracán made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.2 goals.

Argentinos Juniors created the better chances, 2.07 xG to 0.80, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Argentinos Juniors had 3 shots on target, Huracán 9.

Argentinos Juniors's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Argentinos Juniors had 54% of the ball, but Huracán took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Argentinos Juniors came into it with 35 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.24 against, and had won 54% of their matches.

Huracán came into it with 34 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.13 expected goals for and 1.31 against, and had won 35% of their matches.

Argentinos Juniors vs Huracán: the match in numbers

Argentinos JuniorsMatch statisticsHuracán
54%Ball possession46%
2.07Expected goals (xG)0.80
17Total shots20
3Shots on target9
0Big chances1
426Total passes370
82%Pass accuracy80%
7Corners4
16Fouls18
0Offsides2
17Tackles28
6Saves3
1Yellow cards5
1Red cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Bruno Barticciotto (Huracán), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Argentinos Juniors

Huracán

The lowest-rated starter was Franco Paredes at 4.6. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Argentinos Juniors vs Huracán

What was the score in Argentinos Juniors vs Huracán?

Argentinos Juniors 0-2 Huracán (half-time 0-2), Liga Profesional Argentina, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Argentinos Juniors vs Huracán?

Óscar Cortés 8', Bruno Barticciotto 31'.

Did Moneyball predict Argentinos Juniors vs Huracán correctly?

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Argentinos Juniors win the likeliest outcome (51%), and a Huracán win, at 21%, is what happened. At 21%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 5.

Who was man of the match in Argentinos Juniors vs Huracán?

Bruno Barticciotto, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Argentinos Juniors vs Huracán?

P. Dóvalo.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.