Ararat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa League Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October 2026 · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan · referee P. Kolarić · full time
Full time: Ararat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar beat Ararat-Armenia 4-0 in Europa League Matchday 3 on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. The goals: Valdemar Byskov Andreasen 21', Weslley Patati 27', Weslley Patati 76', Mexx Meerdink 79'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How AZ Alkmaar won it
AZ Alkmaar struck first through Valdemar Byskov Andreasen in the 21st minute. Weslley Patati made it 0-2 to AZ Alkmaar in the 27th minute, set up by Seiya Maikuma. Weslley Patati made it 0-3 to AZ Alkmaar in the 76th minute, set up by Ro-Zangelo Daal. Mexx Meerdink made it 0-4 to AZ Alkmaar in the 79th minute, set up by Weslley Patati.
It was 0-2 at half-time.
Weslley Patati scored twice.
The referee, P. Kolarić, showed 2 yellow cards: 2 to Ararat-Armenia and 0 to AZ Alkmaar.
Ararat-Armenia: M. da Silva Cruz, 4-2-3-1 · AZ Alkmaar: L. Echteld, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, AZ Alkmaar -1.00, was right: 0-4 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was an AZ Alkmaar win at 64%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 0-2 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 4 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 59%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 54%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had an AZ Alkmaar win at 62%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Ararat-Armenia had 4 shots on target, AZ Alkmaar 9.
Ararat-Armenia's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
AZ Alkmaar had 61% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Ararat-Armenia came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 3.5 a match, with 0.94 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
AZ Alkmaar came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.80 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: the match in numbers
| Ararat-Armenia | Match statistics | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 39% | Ball possession | 61% |
| 9 | Total shots | 17 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 1 | Big chances | 2 |
| 365 | Total passes | 572 |
| 76% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 21 | Tackles | 12 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Weslley Patati (AZ Alkmaar), rated 9.2 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals, 1 assist.
Ararat-Armenia
- Zhirayr Shaghoyan 7.0
- Carlos França 6.6
- Artur Serobyan 6.5
- Bernardo Dias 6.5
- João Bravim 6.5
AZ Alkmaar
- Weslley Patati 9.2 2 goals, 1 assist
- Ro-Zangelo Daal 7.8 1 assist
- Valdemar Byskov Andreasen 7.7 1 goal
- Mees de Wit 7.4
- Lewis Schouten 7.3
The lowest-rated starter was Hugo Oliveira at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Ararat-Armenia: Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League
- AZ Alkmaar: Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar Sunday 22 November 2026 · Eredivisie
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar
What was the score in Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
Ararat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar (half-time 0-2), Europa League, Thursday 22 October 2026.
Who scored in Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
Valdemar Byskov Andreasen 21', Weslley Patati 27', Weslley Patati 76', Mexx Meerdink 79'.
Did Moneyball predict Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, AZ Alkmaar -1.00, was right: 0-4 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
Weslley Patati, rated 9.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
P. Kolarić.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.