Anderlecht 4-1 Westerlo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Belgian Pro League Matchday 10 · Saturday 31 October 2026 · Lotto Park, Brussels · referee N. Laforge · full time
Full time: Anderlecht 4-1 Westerlo
Anderlecht beat Westerlo 4-1 in Belgian Pro League Matchday 10 on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Lotto Park. The goals: Mihajlo Cvetkovic 40', Mario Stroeykens 43', Thelo Aasgaard 45+1', Lukáš Ambros 60', Nikola Storm 81'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Anderlecht won it
Mihajlo Cvetkovic put Anderlecht ahead in the 40th minute. Mario Stroeykens made it 2-0 to Anderlecht in the 43rd minute, set up by Mihajlo Cvetkovic. Thelo Aasgaard made it 3-0 to Anderlecht in the 45th minute (+1). Lukáš Ambros made it 4-0 to Anderlecht in the 60th minute. Nikola Storm made it 4-1 to Westerlo in the 81st minute, set up by Cisse Sandra.
It was 3-0 at half-time.
The referee, N. Laforge, showed 5 yellow cards: 2 to Anderlecht and 3 to Westerlo.
Anderlecht: V. Clara Santos Mota Fernandes, 4-3-3 · Westerlo: I. Charai, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call on the result: 48% for an Anderlecht win before the match. The scoreline, 4-1, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.3 goals and there were 5.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 64%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.82 for Anderlecht and 3.23 for Westerlo.
Anderlecht scored about 3.2 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Westerlo left about 2.2 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Westerlo created the better chances, 3.23 xG to 0.82, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Anderlecht to create more, and Westerlo did.
Anderlecht had 8 shots on target, Westerlo 4.
Anderlecht had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Anderlecht came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and 1.07 against, and had won 55% of their matches.
Westerlo came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.7 a match, with 1.60 expected goals for and 2.05 against, and had won 36% of their matches.
Anderlecht vs Westerlo: the match in numbers
| Anderlecht | Match statistics | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| 55% | Ball possession | 45% |
| 0.82 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.23 |
| 20 | Total shots | 12 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 4 | Big chances | 0 |
| 551 | Total passes | 454 |
| 90% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 18 | Tackles | 17 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Mihajlo Cvetkovic (Anderlecht), rated 8.4 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Anderlecht
- Mihajlo Cvetkovic 8.4 1 goal, 1 assist
- Thelo Aasgaard 8.0 1 goal
- Mario Stroeykens 7.6 1 goal
- Colin Coosemans 7.5
- Jayden Onia Seke 7.4
Westerlo
- Amando Lapage 7.5
- Cisse Sandra 7.4 1 assist
- Nikola Storm 7.2 1 goal
- Norman Bassette 7.0
- Lucas Mbamba 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Andreas Jungdal at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Anderlecht: Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League
- Westerlo: Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Friday 20 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Anderlecht vs Westerlo
What was the score in Anderlecht vs Westerlo?
Anderlecht 4-1 Westerlo (half-time 3-0), Belgian Pro League, Saturday 31 October 2026.
Who scored in Anderlecht vs Westerlo?
Mihajlo Cvetkovic 40', Mario Stroeykens 43', Thelo Aasgaard 45+1', Lukáš Ambros 60', Nikola Storm 81'.
Did Moneyball predict Anderlecht vs Westerlo correctly?
A correct call on the result: 48% for an Anderlecht win before the match. The scoreline, 4-1, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).
Who was man of the match in Anderlecht vs Westerlo?
Mihajlo Cvetkovic, rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Anderlecht vs Westerlo?
N. Laforge.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.