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Alanyaspor 0-2 Trabzonspor: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Alanyaspor 0-2 Trabzonspor

Alanyaspor 0-2 Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor took the points in Süper Lig Matchday 11 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Alanya Oba Stadium. The goals: Wagner Pina 17', Mohamed Salah 34'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Trabzonspor won it

The opening goal came in the 17th minute: Wagner Pina for Trabzonspor, set up by Chibuike Nwaiwu. Mohamed Salah made it 0-2 to Trabzonspor in the 34th minute, set up by Paul Onuachu.

It was 0-2 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, O. Çakır, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Alanyaspor and 1 to Trabzonspor.

Alanyaspor: N. Pereira Costa, 3-4-3 · Trabzonspor: T. Reis, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50, and on 0-2 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Trabzonspor win at 58%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 59%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 58%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Trabzonspor win at 58%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.03 for Alanyaspor and 2.38 for Trabzonspor.

Alanyaspor scored about 2.0 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Alanyaspor had 2 shots on target, Trabzonspor 5.

Trabzonspor had 62% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Alanyaspor came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.12 expected goals for and 1.80 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Trabzonspor came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.74 expected goals for and 1.57 against, and had won 73% of their matches.

Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor: the match in numbers

AlanyasporMatch statisticsTrabzonspor
38%Ball possession62%
2.03Expected goals (xG)2.38
14Total shots21
2Shots on target5
6Big chances5
364Total passes608
81%Pass accuracy89%
5Corners4
14Fouls11
0Offsides4
11Tackles12
2Saves2
1Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Florent Hadergjonaj (Alanyaspor), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Alanyaspor

Trabzonspor

The lowest-rated starter was Fidan Aliti at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor

What was the score in Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor?

Alanyaspor 0-2 Trabzonspor (half-time 0-2), Süper Lig, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor?

Wagner Pina 17', Mohamed Salah 34'.

Did Moneyball predict Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50, and on 0-2 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor?

Florent Hadergjonaj, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor?

O. Çakır.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.