Akhmat Grozny 1-0 Rodina Moskva: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Russian Premier League Matchday 14 · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Akhmat Arena, Groznyi · referee E. Bulanov · full time
Full time: Akhmat Grozny 1-0 Rodina Moskva
Akhmat Grozny won 1-0 at home to Rodina Moskva in Russian Premier League Matchday 14 on Saturday 7 November 2026. The goals: Klisman Cake 34'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Akhmat Grozny won it
The opening goal came in the 34th minute: Klisman Cake for Akhmat Grozny, set up by Ismael Silva Lima.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, E. Bulanov, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Akhmat Grozny and 3 to Rodina Moskva.
Akhmat Grozny: P. Alpatov, 4-2-3-1 · Rodina Moskva: J. Alba Cabello, 5-4-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call on the result: 56% for an Akhmat Grozny win before the match. The scoreline, 1-0, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.9 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 55%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.17 for Akhmat Grozny and 1.07 for Rodina Moskva.
Rodina Moskva left about 1.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Akhmat Grozny had 3 shots on target, Rodina Moskva 3.
Rodina Moskva had 53% of the ball, but Akhmat Grozny took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Akhmat Grozny came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.14 expected goals for and 1.29 against, and had won 21% of their matches.
Rodina Moskva came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.00 expected goals for and 1.91 against, and had won 21% of their matches.
Akhmat Grozny vs Rodina Moskva: the match in numbers
| Akhmat Grozny | Match statistics | Rodina Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| 47% | Ball possession | 53% |
| 1.17 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.07 |
| 10 | Total shots | 8 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 1 | Big chances | 0 |
| 342 | Total passes | 393 |
| 76% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 23 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 15 | Tackles | 22 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Kalidou Sidibé (Akhmat Grozny), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Akhmat Grozny
- Kalidou Sidibé 7.8
- Klisman Cake 7.6 1 goal
- Arsen Adamov 7.6
- Ismael Silva Lima 7.6 1 assist
- Turpal-Ali Ibishev 7.0
Rodina Moskva
- Igor Silva 7.1
- Deiver Machado 7.0
- Leon Musaev 7.0
- Rodrigo Becão 7.0
- Sergey Volkov 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Yordy Reyna at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Akhmat Grozny: CSKA Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny Saturday 21 November 2026 · Russian Premier League
- Rodina Moskva: Rodina Moskva vs Lokomotiv Moskva Sunday 22 November 2026 · Russian Premier League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Akhmat Grozny vs Rodina Moskva
What was the score in Akhmat Grozny vs Rodina Moskva?
Akhmat Grozny 1-0 Rodina Moskva (half-time 1-0), Russian Premier League, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in Akhmat Grozny vs Rodina Moskva?
Klisman Cake 34'.
Did Moneyball predict Akhmat Grozny vs Rodina Moskva correctly?
A correct call on the result: 56% for an Akhmat Grozny win before the match. The scoreline, 1-0, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).
Who was man of the match in Akhmat Grozny vs Rodina Moskva?
Kalidou Sidibé, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Akhmat Grozny vs Rodina Moskva?
E. Bulanov.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.