MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

ADO Den Haag 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: ADO Den Haag 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam

ADO Den Haag 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam: ADO Den Haag took the points in Eredivisie Matchday 12 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at WerkTalent Stadion. The goals: Juho Kilo 22', Bas Kuipers 50', Nigel Thomas 57', Daryl van Mieghem 79'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How ADO Den Haag won it

ADO Den Haag struck first through Juho Kilo in the 22nd minute, set up by Jalen Hawkins. Sparta Rotterdam levelled at 1-1 in the 50th minute through Bas Kuipers, set up by Milan Zonneveld. Nigel Thomas made it 2-1 to ADO Den Haag in the 57th minute. Daryl van Mieghem made it 3-1 to ADO Den Haag in the 79th minute, set up by C. Peupion.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

The referee, A. Bos, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to ADO Den Haag and 0 to Sparta Rotterdam.

ADO Den Haag: L. Schwiebbe, 4-2-3-1 · Sparta Rotterdam: R. Meijer, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, ADO Den Haag 0.00, was right: 3-1 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Sparta Rotterdam win at 38%; an ADO Den Haag win, at 37%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 64%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.70 for ADO Den Haag and 1.62 for Sparta Rotterdam.

ADO Den Haag scored about 1.3 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

ADO Den Haag had 7 shots on target, Sparta Rotterdam 6.

ADO Den Haag's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Sparta Rotterdam had 51% of the ball, but ADO Den Haag took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

ADO Den Haag came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.12 expected goals for and 1.98 against, and had won 17% of their matches.

Sparta Rotterdam came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.4 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and 2.05 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: the match in numbers

ADO Den HaagMatch statisticsSparta Rotterdam
49%Ball possession51%
1.70Expected goals (xG)1.62
13Total shots16
7Shots on target6
5Big chances3
421Total passes428
80%Pass accuracy79%
5Corners9
13Fouls9
3Offsides0
12Tackles9
6Saves4
1Yellow cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Isaac Babadi (Sparta Rotterdam), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

ADO Den Haag

Sparta Rotterdam

The lowest-rated starter was Bruno Martins Indi at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam

What was the score in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

ADO Den Haag 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam (half-time 1-0), Eredivisie, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Juho Kilo 22', Bas Kuipers 50', Nigel Thomas 57', Daryl van Mieghem 79'.

Did Moneyball predict ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, ADO Den Haag 0.00, was right: 3-1 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Isaac Babadi, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

A. Bos.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.