AC Milan 2-4 Bologna: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Bologna won it

The opening goal came in the 8th minute: Samuel Mbangula for Bologna, set up by Nadir Zortea. AC Milan levelled at 1-1 in the 14th minute through Alphadjo Cissè. AC Milan turned it round: Alphadjo Cissè made it 2-1 in the 27th minute, set up by Fikayo Tomori. Bologna levelled at 2-2 in the 60th minute through an own goal by Davide Bartesaghi. Bologna turned it round: Samuel Mbangula made it 2-3 in the 62nd minute, set up by Juan Miranda. Samuel Mbangula made it 2-4 to Bologna in the 86th minute, set up by Jens Odgaard.

It was 2-1 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

Samuel Mbangula scored a hat-trick.

Alphadjo Cissè scored twice.

The lead changed hands 2 times.

The referee, J. Sacchi, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to AC Milan and 2 to Bologna.

AC Milan: R. Amorim, 4-2-3-1 · Bologna: R. Palladino, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50, and on 2-4 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an AC Milan win at 53%; a Bologna win, at 21%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.6 goals and there were 6.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 48%; with 6 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 50%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-28, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.26 for AC Milan and 1.08 for Bologna.

Bologna made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 2.9 goals.

AC Milan had 3 shots on target, Bologna 5.

AC Milan had 66% of the ball, but Bologna took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

AC Milan came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.55 expected goals for and 1.12 against, and had won 64% of their matches.

Bologna came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.63 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 45% of their matches.

AC Milan vs Bologna: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Samuel Mbangula (Bologna), rated 9.1 by Sportmonks, with 3 goals.

AC Milan

• Alphadjo Cissè 8.0 2 goals
• Fikayo Tomori 7.2 1 assist
• Ardon Jashari 6.8
• Pervis Estupiñán 6.7
• Luka Modrić 6.5

Bologna

• Samuel Mbangula 9.1 3 goals
• Jens Odgaard 7.1 1 assist
• Lewis Ferguson 7.0
• Federico Bernardeschi 7.0
• Nadir Zortea 6.9 1 assist

The lowest-rated starter was Omari Hutchinson at 5.6. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• AC Milan: AC Milan vs Frosinone Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
• Bologna: Bologna vs Udinese Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about AC Milan vs Bologna

What was the score in AC Milan vs Bologna?

AC Milan 2-4 Bologna (half-time 2-1), Serie A, Wednesday 28 October 2026.

Who scored in AC Milan vs Bologna?

Samuel Mbangula 8', Alphadjo Cissè 14', Alphadjo Cissè 27', Samuel Mbangula 62', Samuel Mbangula 86'.

Did Moneyball predict AC Milan vs Bologna correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50, and on 2-4 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in AC Milan vs Bologna?

Samuel Mbangula, rated 9.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed AC Milan vs Bologna?

J. Sacchi.