Abha 1-1 Al Ittihad: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

Houssem Aouar put Al Ittihad ahead in the 52nd minute. Abha levelled at 1-1 in the 87th minute through Faisal Al-Subiani. Late, and enough for a draw.

It was 0-0 at half-time.

The referee, M. Abu Shaqarah, showed 5 yellow cards: 4 to Abha and 1 to Al Ittihad.

Abha: D. Burić, 4-4-1-1 · Al Ittihad: J. Wissing, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Al Ittihad win the likeliest outcome (57%), and a draw, at 24%, is what happened. At 24%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 52%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-30, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.07 for Abha and 0.38 for Al Ittihad.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Al Ittihad to create more, and Abha did.

Abha had 5 shots on target, Al Ittihad 3.

Al Ittihad had 62% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Abha came into it with 11 Saudi Pro League matches played, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 0.96 expected goals for and 1.41 against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Al Ittihad came into it with 11 Saudi Pro League matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 2.01 expected goals for and 1.36 against, and had won 64% of their matches.

Abha vs Al Ittihad: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Ahmed Al-Ghamdi (Al Ittihad), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Abha

• Faisal Al-Subiani 7.3 1 goal
• Abdullah Al-Fahad 7.1
• Ammar Al-Yuhaybi 6.9
• Juriën Gaari 6.8
• Mateo Borrell 6.8

Al Ittihad

• Ahmed Al-Ghamdi 7.6
• Houssem Aouar 7.5 1 goal
• Saad Al-Mousa 7.2
• Danilo Pereira 7.2
• Predrag Rajković 7.1

The lowest-rated starter was Alimami Gory at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Abha: Abha vs Al Shabab Thursday 26 November 2026 · Saudi Pro League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Abha vs Al Ittihad

What was the score in Abha vs Al Ittihad?

Abha 1-1 Al Ittihad (half-time 0-0), Saudi Pro League, Friday 30 October 2026.

Who scored in Abha vs Al Ittihad?

Houssem Aouar 52', Faisal Al-Subiani 87'.

Did Moneyball predict Abha vs Al Ittihad correctly?

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Al Ittihad win the likeliest outcome (57%), and a draw, at 24%, is what happened. At 24%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.

Who was man of the match in Abha vs Al Ittihad?

Ahmed Al-Ghamdi, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Abha vs Al Ittihad?

M. Abu Shaqarah.