Abha 0-1 Al Faisaly: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Al Faisaly won it

The opening goal came in the 70th minute: Flávio for Al Faisaly, set up by Abdulaziz Al-Bishi.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, A. Bakri, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Abha and 1 to Al Faisaly.

Abha: D. Burić, 4-2-3-1 · Al Faisaly: G. Solinas, 3-4-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 2.50, was right: 0-1 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was an Abha win at 40%; an Al Faisaly win, at 32%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.5 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 45%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 51%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Abha win at 41%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-27, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.24 for Abha and 1.73 for Al Faisaly.

Abha scored about 1.2 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Abha to create more, and Al Faisaly did.

Abha had 4 shots on target, Al Faisaly 3.

Abha had 59% of the ball, but Al Faisaly took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Abha came into it with 11 Saudi Pro League matches played, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 0.96 expected goals for and 1.41 against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Al Faisaly came into it with 12 Saudi Pro League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.09 expected goals for and 1.72 against, and had won 17% of their matches.

Abha vs Al Faisaly: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Nabil Fekir (Abha), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Abha

• Nabil Fekir 7.5
• Georges-Kevin N'Koudou 7.4
• Nasser Al-Daajani 7.2
• Mohammed Al-Zaid 7.0
• Alimami Gory 6.9

Al Faisaly

• Andrei Girotto 7.3
• Fernando Pacheco 7.3
• Abdullah Bin Subayt 7.2
• Abdullah Al-Mogren 7.2
• Flávio 7.2 1 goal

The lowest-rated starter was Juriën Gaari at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Abha: Abha vs Al Shabab Thursday 26 November 2026 · Saudi Pro League
• Al Faisaly: Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC Thursday 26 November 2026 · Saudi Pro League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Abha vs Al Faisaly

What was the score in Abha vs Al Faisaly?

Abha 0-1 Al Faisaly (half-time 0-0), Saudi Pro League, Tuesday 27 October 2026.

Who scored in Abha vs Al Faisaly?

Flávio 70'.

Did Moneyball predict Abha vs Al Faisaly correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 2.50, was right: 0-1 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Abha vs Al Faisaly?

Nabil Fekir, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Abha vs Al Faisaly?

A. Bakri.