Zenit 2-0 Dynamo Makhachkala: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Zenit won it

The opening goal came in the 63rd minute: Felipe Augusto from the penalty spot for Zenit. Maksim Glushenkov from the penalty spot made it 2-0 to Zenit in the 77th minute.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, A. Frolov, showed 7 yellow cards: 0 to Zenit and 7 to Dynamo Makhachkala. Miro missed a penalty for Dynamo Makhachkala in the 16 minute. K. Andrade missed a penalty for Zenit in the 90 minute.

Zenit: S. Semak, 4-2-3-1 · Dynamo Makhachkala: V. Evseev, 5-3-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A Zenit win was the estimate's call at 61%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 2-1 was the likeliest, 2-0 the real one.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.3 and the match produced two.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 64%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 60%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.98 for Zenit and 4.06 for Dynamo Makhachkala.

Zenit scored about 1.0 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Dynamo Makhachkala left about 4.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Dynamo Makhachkala created the better chances, 4.06 xG to 0.98, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Zenit to create more, and Dynamo Makhachkala did.

Zenit had 10 shots on target, Dynamo Makhachkala 0.

Dynamo Makhachkala's goalkeeper made 8 saves.

Zenit had 68% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Zenit came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.87 expected goals for and 1.03 against, and had won 71% of their matches.

Dynamo Makhachkala came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Nikita Karabashev (Dynamo Makhachkala), rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.

Zenit

• Nino 8.3
• Felipe Augusto 8.0 1 goal
• Maksim Glushenkov 7.8 1 goal
• Nuraly Alip 7.5
• Douglas Santos 7.4

Dynamo Makhachkala

• Nikita Karabashev 8.4
• Nikita Glushkov 6.9
• Miro 6.9
• Daler Kuzyaev 6.8
• Houssem Mrezigue 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Andrés Alarcón at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Zenit: Rubin Kazan vs Zenit Saturday 21 November 2026 · Russian Premier League
• Dynamo Makhachkala: Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva Sunday 22 November 2026 · Russian Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala

What was the score in Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

Zenit 2-0 Dynamo Makhachkala (half-time 0-0), Russian Premier League, Sunday 25 October 2026.

Who scored in Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

Felipe Augusto 63', Maksim Glushenkov 77'.

Did Moneyball predict Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala correctly?

A Zenit win was the estimate's call at 61%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 2-1 was the likeliest, 2-0 the real one.

Who was man of the match in Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

Nikita Karabashev, rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

A. Frolov.