Wrexham 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

Adam Armstrong put Wolverhampton Wanderers ahead in the 25th minute, set up by Nasser Djiga. Wrexham levelled at 1-1 in the 27th minute through Lewis O'Brien, set up by Issa Kaboré.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, A. Kitchen, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Wrexham and 2 to Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Wrexham: P. Parkinson, 3-5-1-1 · Wolverhampton Wanderers: P. da Silva Peixoto, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.25. On 1-1 it was half right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win at 44%; a draw, at 29%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.3 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 41%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 47%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.42 for Wrexham and 0.58 for Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Wrexham created the better chances, 1.42 xG to 0.58, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Wolverhampton Wanderers to create more, and Wrexham did.

Wrexham had 3 shots on target, Wolverhampton Wanderers 5.

Wolverhampton Wanderers had 60% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Wrexham came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.23 expected goals for and 1.26 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Wolverhampton Wanderers came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 0.93 against, and had won 53% of their matches.

Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Adam Armstrong (Wolverhampton Wanderers), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Wrexham

• Lewis O'Brien 7.4 1 goal
• Max Cleworth 7.2
• Anthony Patterson 7.2
• Callum Doyle 7.0
• Oliver Rathbone 7.0

Wolverhampton Wanderers

• Adam Armstrong 7.5 1 goal
• Nasser Djiga 7.4 1 assist
• Marshall Nyasha Munetsi 7.2
• Ladislav Krejci 7.1
• Fernando López González 7.1

The lowest-rated starter was Rodrigo Gomes at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Wrexham: Lincoln City vs Wrexham Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
• Wolverhampton Wanderers: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

What was the score in Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Wrexham 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers (half-time 1-1), Championship, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Adam Armstrong 25', Lewis O'Brien 27'.

Did Moneyball predict Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.25. On 1-1 it was half right.

Who was man of the match in Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Adam Armstrong, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

A. Kitchen.