Wrexham 2-0 Middlesbrough: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Wrexham won it

Wrexham struck first through George Thomason in the 70th minute, set up by Kieffer Moore. Oliver Rathbone made it 2-0 to Wrexham in the 84th minute, set up by Lewis O'Brien.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, O. Langford, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Wrexham and 0 to Middlesbrough.

Wrexham: P. Parkinson, 3-5-1-1 · Middlesbrough: K. Hellberg, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 2-0 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Middlesbrough win at 55%; a Wrexham win, at 21%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 55%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Middlesbrough win at 51%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.27 for Wrexham and 1.25 for Middlesbrough.

Middlesbrough left about 1.2 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Wrexham had 4 shots on target, Middlesbrough 2.

Middlesbrough had 62% of the ball, but Wrexham took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Wrexham came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.23 expected goals for and 1.26 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Middlesbrough came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.99 expected goals for and 1.01 against, and had won 53% of their matches.

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: George Thomason (Wrexham), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Wrexham

• George Thomason 8.0 1 goal
• Kieffer Moore 7.7 1 assist
• Ben Whiteman 7.4
• Callum Doyle 7.3
• Oliver Rathbone 7.3 1 goal

Middlesbrough

• Sebastian Berhalter 7.2
• Callum Brittain 7.2
• Luke Ayling 7.1
• Amario Cozier-Duberry 6.9
• Adilson Malanda 6.9

The lowest-rated starter was Neto Borges at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Wrexham: Lincoln City vs Wrexham Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
• Middlesbrough: Middlesbrough vs Bristol City Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Wrexham vs Middlesbrough

What was the score in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?

Wrexham 2-0 Middlesbrough (half-time 0-0), Championship, Wednesday 4 November 2026.

Who scored in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?

George Thomason 70', Oliver Rathbone 84'.

Did Moneyball predict Wrexham vs Middlesbrough correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 2-0 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?

George Thomason, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?

O. Langford.