Vitória Guimarães 1-2 Porto: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Porto won it

Borja Sainz put Porto ahead in the 38th minute, set up by Alberto Costa. Vitória Guimarães levelled at 1-1 in the 77th minute through Alan de Souza Guimarães, set up by Gustavo Silva. Martim Fernandes made it 1-2 to Porto in the 86th minute, set up by Pepê.

It was 0-1 at half-time.

The referee, D. Oliveira Silva, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to Vitória Guimarães and 4 to Porto.

Vitória Guimarães: T. Carvalho Margarido, 4-2-3-1 · Porto: F. Farioli, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Vitoria Guimaraes +1.25. On 1-2 it was half right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Porto win at 55%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 53%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 53%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.70 for Vitória Guimarães and 0.80 for Porto.

Porto made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.2 goals.

Vitória Guimarães created the better chances, 1.70 xG to 0.80, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Porto to create more, and Vitória Guimarães did.

Vitória Guimarães had 6 shots on target, Porto 4.

Porto's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Porto had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Vitória Guimarães came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.51 expected goals for and 1.02 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Porto came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 2.26 expected goals for and 0.93 against, and had won 100% of their matches.

Vitória Guimarães vs Porto: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Alberto Costa (Porto), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Vitória Guimarães

• Alan de Souza Guimarães 7.4 1 goal
• Ahmed Sidibé 7.3
• Beni Mukendi 7.1
• Gustavo Silva 7.1 1 assist
• Arnel Jakupovic 7.0

Porto

• Alberto Costa 7.6 1 assist
• Diogo Costa 7.5
• Borja Sainz 7.3 1 goal
• Pepê 7.3 1 assist
• Jan Bednarek 7.1

The lowest-rated starter was Oumar Camara at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Porto: Feyenoord vs Porto Tuesday 24 November 2026 · Champions League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Vitória Guimarães vs Porto

What was the score in Vitória Guimarães vs Porto?

Vitória Guimarães 1-2 Porto (half-time 0-1), Liga Portugal, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Vitória Guimarães vs Porto?

Borja Sainz 38', Alan de Souza Guimarães 77', Martim Fernandes 86'.

Did Moneyball predict Vitória Guimarães vs Porto correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Vitoria Guimaraes +1.25. On 1-2 it was half right.

Who was man of the match in Vitória Guimarães vs Porto?

Alberto Costa, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Vitória Guimarães vs Porto?

D. Oliveira Silva.