Vélez Sarsfield 2-2 San Lorenzo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

Juan Cruz Policella put Vélez Sarsfield ahead in the 22nd minute, set up by Matías Pellegrini. Matías Pellegrini made it 2-0 to Vélez Sarsfield in the 25th minute. Alexis Cuello made it 2-1 to San Lorenzo in the 45th minute (+1), set up by Rodrigo Auzmendi. San Lorenzo levelled at 2-2 in the 81st minute through Rodrigo Auzmendi.

Vélez Sarsfield were two goals up and could not hold on: San Lorenzo came back from two down for a draw.

It was 2-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, F. Tello Figueroa, showed 9 yellow cards: 3 to Vélez Sarsfield and 6 to San Lorenzo.

Vélez Sarsfield: G. Barros Schelotto, 4-2-3-1 · San Lorenzo: R. Insúa, 3-4-1-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A miss for the model: 51% for a Vélez Sarsfield win, 29% for a draw, and football chose the second.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.1 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 36%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 40%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.95 for Vélez Sarsfield and 1.71 for San Lorenzo.

Vélez Sarsfield scored about 1.0 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Vélez Sarsfield to create more, and San Lorenzo did.

Vélez Sarsfield had 6 shots on target, San Lorenzo 3.

Vélez Sarsfield had 65% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Vélez Sarsfield came into it with 33 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.18 expected goals for and 1.32 against, and had won 42% of their matches.

San Lorenzo came into it with 33 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 0.89 expected goals for and 1.31 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Matías Pellegrini (Vélez Sarsfield), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Vélez Sarsfield

• Matías Pellegrini 8.1 1 goal, 1 assist
• Lucas Robertone 7.1
• Manuel Lanzini 7.1
• Juan Cruz Policella 7.0 1 goal
• Diego Valdés 6.7

San Lorenzo

• Rodrigo Auzmendi 8.0 1 goal, 1 assist
• Alexis Cuello 7.2 1 goal
• Martín Río 7.1
• José Devecchi 7.1
• Nicolás Tripichio 7.0

The lowest-rated starter was Tomás Marchiori at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Vélez Sarsfield: Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano Friday 20 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo

What was the score in Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?

Vélez Sarsfield 2-2 San Lorenzo (half-time 2-1), Liga Profesional Argentina, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?

Juan Cruz Policella 22', Matías Pellegrini 25', Alexis Cuello 45+1', Rodrigo Auzmendi 81'.

Did Moneyball predict Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo correctly?

A miss for the model: 51% for a Vélez Sarsfield win, 29% for a draw, and football chose the second.

Who was man of the match in Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?

Matías Pellegrini, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?

F. Tello Figueroa.