Unión Santa Fe 3-1 Estudiantes: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Unión Santa Fe won it

An own goal by Lucas Ayala put Estudiantes ahead in the 40th minute. Unión Santa Fe levelled at 1-1 in the 51st minute through Cristian Tarragona, set up by Juan Pintado. Unión Santa Fe turned it round: Marcelo Estigarribia made it 2-1 in the 64th minute. Eric Ramírez made it 3-1 to Unión Santa Fe in the 90th minute (+6), set up by Cristian Tarragona.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, P. Dóvalo, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to Unión Santa Fe and 2 to Estudiantes.

Unión Santa Fe: L. Madelón, 4-4-2 · Estudiantes: A. Medina Reobasco, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Union Santa Fe +0.25, and on 3-1 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was an Unión Santa Fe win at 39%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.4 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 43%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 50%; both did, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Unión Santa Fe win at 35%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-26, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.61 for Unión Santa Fe and 1.80 for Estudiantes.

Unión Santa Fe scored about 2.4 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Estudiantes created the better chances, 1.80 xG to 0.61, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Unión Santa Fe to create more, and Estudiantes did.

Unión Santa Fe had 6 shots on target, Estudiantes 4.

Estudiantes had 63% of the ball, but Unión Santa Fe took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Unión Santa Fe came into it with 34 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.16 against, and had won 35% of their matches.

Estudiantes came into it with 33 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.28 expected goals for and 1.26 against, and had won 39% of their matches.

Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Cristian Tarragona (Unión Santa Fe), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Unión Santa Fe

• Cristian Tarragona 8.6 1 goal, 1 assist
• Marcelo Estigarribia 7.5 1 goal
• Juan Pintado 7.5 1 assist
• Eric Ramírez 7.3 1 goal
• Juan Pablo Ludueña 7.0

Estudiantes

• Baltasar Rodríguez 7.3
• Edwuin Cetré 7.2
• Eric Meza 6.9
• Tiago Palacios 6.8
• Tomás Palacios 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Gastón Benedetti at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

Questions about Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes

What was the score in Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes?

Unión Santa Fe 3-1 Estudiantes (half-time 0-1), Liga Profesional Argentina, Monday 26 October 2026.

Who scored in Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes?

Cristian Tarragona 51', Marcelo Estigarribia 64', Eric Ramírez 90+6'.

Did Moneyball predict Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Union Santa Fe +0.25, and on 3-1 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes?

Cristian Tarragona, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes?

P. Dóvalo.