Union Saint-Gilloise 1–0 KRC Genk: Result, Report and Stats
Pro League · Monday 9 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Union Saint-Gilloise 1 – 0 KRC Genk
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave Union Saint-Gilloise win 58%. The result went the way the consensus leaned.
- 1 goal in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
Union Saint-Gilloise welcome KRC Genk to Stade Joseph Mariën in Brussels in Pro League action on Monday 9 November 2026.
Union Saint-Gilloise have played 11 matches in Pro League this season, scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.6 goals a game and winning 82% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 44% win rate. KRC Genk have played 11 matches in Pro League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 36% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Union Saint-Gilloise are narrow favourites at 58%, with the draw at 23% and KRC Genk at 19%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3 goals: 48%.
Union Saint-Gilloise: form and key numbers
In style Union Saint-Gilloise keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.91 a match created, 1.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.9).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 7.2 on target.
- Possession: 52.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 55% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.06.
KRC Genk: form and key numbers
In style KRC Genk keep the ball, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.96 a match created, 1.22 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.6).
- Shots: 14.4 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 54.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk: season averages side by side
| Union Saint-Gilloise | Per match | KRC Genk |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.96 |
| 1.11 | xG conceded | 1.22 |
| 2.73 | Goals | 1.64 |
| 16.9 | Shots | 14.4 |
| 7.2 | Shots on target | 4.5 |
| 1.7 | Big chances missed | 2.0 |
| 68.3 | Pressure share % | 53.0 |
| 21.3 | Tackles | 16.9 |
| 11.0 | Fouls | 11.8 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 11 and 11 measured matches.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Union Saint-Gilloise have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 1 of the last 7 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Union Saint-Gilloise 13, KRC Genk 5 - 2.6 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 KRC Genk (November 8th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 6 meetings Union Saint-Gilloise won 5, drew 0 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 – 0 | KRC Genk |
| 7 Mar 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 2 – 1 | KRC Genk |
| 21 Sep 2025 | KRC Genk | 1 – 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 3 May 2025 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 – 0 | KRC Genk |
| 20 Apr 2025 | KRC Genk | 1 – 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 15 Mar 2025 | KRC Genk | 2 – 1 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
Players to watch
Union Saint-Gilloise
- Adem Zorgane CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 68 · Creator, Long passer (top 9% of his position)
- Massiré Sylla CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 68 · Duel winner, Ball-winner (top 1% of his position)
KRC Genk
- Jeppe Erenbjerg AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 52 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 7% of his position)
- Ayumu Yokoyama LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 50 · Crosser, Dribbler (top 17% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Rafiu Durosinmi
Rafiu Durosinmi, 23 · Genk · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 66
Rafiu Durosinmi, 23, plays as a centre-forward for Genk in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 66
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 59
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 5.13 / 90 | 97% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 xG/shot | 94% |
| Duels won | 7.95 / 90 | 90% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.57 / 90 | 70% |
| Expected goals | 0.55 / 90 | 70% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots, Duel winner.
- What Rafiu Durosinmi is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Rafiu Durosinmi's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk prediction
KRC Genk should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 2.19 for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.13 for KRC Genk - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 61%. Union Saint-Gilloise have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 KRC Genk
Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk: what the numbers say
- 1. Union Saint-Gilloise win, the likeliest result 58% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 3 or more goals 65% by the model, 3.33 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.6 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk: questions and answers
When is Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk?
Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk is on Monday 9 November 2026, in Pro League.
Where is Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk played?
At Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels, Union Saint-Gilloise's home ground.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk?
Union Saint-Gilloise are the favourites: Union Saint-Gilloise 58%, draw 23%, KRC Genk 19%. Our prediction is Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 KRC Genk.
Who is the player to watch in Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk?
Rafiu Durosinmi of Genk: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 66 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.