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Udinese 0-3 Lecce: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Udinese 0-3 Lecce

Lecce won 3-0 away at Udinese in Serie A Matchday 7 on Sunday 18 October 2026. The goals: Gaspar 11', Konan N’Dri 33', Jamil Siebert 86'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Lecce won it

Lecce struck first through Gaspar in the 11th minute, set up by Antonino Gallo. Konan N’Dri made it 0-2 to Lecce in the 33rd minute, set up by Tiago Gabriel. Jamil Siebert made it 0-3 to Lecce in the 86th minute.

It was 0-2 at half-time.

The referee, M. Guida, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Udinese and 0 to Lecce.

Udinese: K. Runjaic, 3-4-2-1 · Lecce: E. Di Francesco, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Lecce +0.50, was right: 0-3 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was an Udinese win at 44%; a Lecce win, at 29%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.6 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 48%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 53%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Udinese win at 48%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.57 for Udinese and 0.43 for Lecce.

Udinese scored about 2.6 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Lecce made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 2.6 goals.

Udinese created the better chances, 2.57 xG to 0.43, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Udinese had 2 shots on target, Lecce 11.

Udinese's goalkeeper made 8 saves.

Udinese had 67% of the ball, but Lecce took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Udinese came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.11 expected goals for and 1.88 against, and had won 9% of their matches.

Lecce came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.18 expected goals for and 1.72 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Udinese vs Lecce: the match in numbers

UdineseMatch statisticsLecce
67%Ball possession33%
2.57Expected goals (xG)0.43
14Total shots17
2Shots on target11
1Big chances8
520Total passes258
84%Pass accuracy71%
1Corners4
10Fouls11
3Offsides8
14Tackles21
8Saves2
1Yellow cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Konan N’Dri (Lecce), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Udinese

Lecce

The lowest-rated starter was Willem Geubbels at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Udinese vs Lecce

What was the score in Udinese vs Lecce?

Udinese 0-3 Lecce (half-time 0-2), Serie A, Sunday 18 October 2026.

Who scored in Udinese vs Lecce?

Gaspar 11', Konan N’Dri 33', Jamil Siebert 86'.

Did Moneyball predict Udinese vs Lecce correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Lecce +0.50, was right: 0-3 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Udinese vs Lecce?

Konan N’Dri, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Udinese vs Lecce?

M. Guida.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.