FC Twente 1-0 Thun: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · De Grolsch Veste, Enschede · referee G. Nuza · full time
Full time: FC Twente 1-0 Thun
FC Twente beat Thun 1-0 in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at De Grolsch Veste. The goals: Ramiz Zerrouki 65'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How FC Twente won it
The opening goal came in the 65th minute: Ramiz Zerrouki for FC Twente, set up by Daouda Weidmann.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Patrik Kristal of Thun was sent off in the 60th minute. The referee, G. Nuza, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to FC Twente and 1 to Thun.
FC Twente: J. van den Brom, 4-2-3-1 · Thun: G. Privitelli, 4-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call on the result: 81% for a FC Twente win before the match. The scoreline, 1-0, was not the estimate's first choice (3-1).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 4.9 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 86%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 69%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
FC Twente had 5 shots on target, Thun 0.
FC Twente had 73% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
FC Twente came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 2.86 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.
Thun came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.31 expected goals for and – against, and had won 33% of their matches.
FC Twente vs Thun: the match in numbers
| FC Twente | Match statistics | Thun |
|---|---|---|
| 73% | Ball possession | 27% |
| 22 | Total shots | 6 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 3 | Big chances | 0 |
| 673 | Total passes | 254 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 70% |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 19 |
| 21 | Tackles | 22 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Ramiz Zerrouki (FC Twente), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
FC Twente
- Ramiz Zerrouki 8.3 1 goal
- Ruud Nijstad 7.7
- Daouda Weidmann 7.7 1 assist
- Sondre Ørjasæter 7.5
- Aske Adelgaard 7.3
Thun
- Niklas Steffen 7.1
- Mattias Käit 7.1
- Louis Passavant 7.0
- Fabio Fehr 7.0
- Nicolas Bürgy 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Patrik Kristal at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- FC Twente: FC Twente vs Willem II Sunday 22 November 2026 · Eredivisie
- Thun: Ajax vs Thun Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about FC Twente vs Thun
What was the score in FC Twente vs Thun?
FC Twente 1-0 Thun (half-time 0-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in FC Twente vs Thun?
Ramiz Zerrouki 65'.
Did Moneyball predict FC Twente vs Thun correctly?
A correct call on the result: 81% for a FC Twente win before the match. The scoreline, 1-0, was not the estimate's first choice (3-1).
Who was man of the match in FC Twente vs Thun?
Ramiz Zerrouki, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed FC Twente vs Thun?
G. Nuza.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.