Trabzonspor 0-1 SC Freiburg: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November 2026 · Papara Park, Trabzon · referee K. Tohver · full time
Full time: Trabzonspor 0-1 SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg beat Trabzonspor 1-0 in Europa Conference League Matchday 3 on Thursday 5 November 2026 at Papara Park. The goals: Lukas Kübler 14'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How SC Freiburg won it
Lukas Kübler put SC Freiburg ahead in the 14th minute.
It was 0-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, K. Tohver, showed 5 yellow cards: 2 to Trabzonspor and 3 to SC Freiburg.
Trabzonspor: T. Reis, 4-3-3 · SC Freiburg: J. Schuster, 4-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Trabzonspor 0.00, and on 0-1 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Trabzonspor win at 40%; a SC Freiburg win, at 36%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.3 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 66%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Trabzonspor win at 38%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Trabzonspor had 2 shots on target, SC Freiburg 5.
Trabzonspor had 63% of the ball, but SC Freiburg took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Trabzonspor came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 2.12 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.
SC Freiburg came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 2.33 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.
Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg: the match in numbers
| Trabzonspor | Match statistics | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| 63% | Ball possession | 37% |
| 15 | Total shots | 12 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 1 | Big chances | 1 |
| 574 | Total passes | 339 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 11 | Tackles | 15 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Lukas Kübler (SC Freiburg), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Trabzonspor
- Chibuike Nwaiwu 7.5
- Mohamed Salah 7.5
- Fabinho 7.3
- Ernest Muci 7.2
- Paul Onuachu 7.2
SC Freiburg
- Lukas Kübler 7.6 1 goal
- Igor Matanovic 7.6
- Vincenzo Grifo 7.3
- Matthias Ginter 7.0
- Philipp Lienhart 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Wagner Pina at 6.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor Sunday 22 November 2026 · Süper Lig
- SC Freiburg: Elversberg vs SC Freiburg Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg
What was the score in Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg?
Trabzonspor 0-1 SC Freiburg (half-time 0-1), Europa Conference League, Thursday 5 November 2026.
Who scored in Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg?
Lukas Kübler 14'.
Did Moneyball predict Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Trabzonspor 0.00, and on 0-1 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg?
Lukas Kübler, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg?
K. Tohver.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.