Trabzonspor 2-0 Hearts: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Trabzonspor won it

Mohamed Salah put Trabzonspor ahead in the 32nd minute from the penalty spot. Franculino made it 2-0 to Trabzonspor in the 58th minute, set up by Mohamed Salah.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

Sidny Lopes Cabral of Trabzonspor was sent off in the 90th minute (+5) for a second yellow card. The referee, L. Visser, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to Trabzonspor and 4 to Hearts.

Trabzonspor: T. Reis, 4-3-3 · Hearts: W. Vrancken, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A miss for the model: 55% for a Hearts win, 23% for a Trabzonspor win, and football chose the second. At 23%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.3 and the match produced two.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 64%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 63%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Trabzonspor had 5 shots on target, Hearts 1.

Trabzonspor had 61% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Trabzonspor came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 2.12 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.

Hearts came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 2.09 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Trabzonspor vs Hearts: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Franculino (Trabzonspor), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Trabzonspor

• Franculino 7.6 1 goal
• Mohamed Salah 7.6 1 goal, 1 assist
• Batista Mendy 7.5
• Benjamin Bouchouari 7.3
• Samet Akaydin 7.3

Hearts

• Jamie McCart 7.1
• Rogers Mato 7.0
• Jordi Altena 6.8
• Sabah Kerjota 6.8
• Christian Borchgrevink 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Tómas Bent Magnússon at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor Sunday 22 November 2026 · Süper Lig
• Hearts: Hearts vs Monaco Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Trabzonspor vs Hearts

What was the score in Trabzonspor vs Hearts?

Trabzonspor 2-0 Hearts (half-time 1-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 22 October 2026.

Who scored in Trabzonspor vs Hearts?

Mohamed Salah 32', Franculino 58'.

Did Moneyball predict Trabzonspor vs Hearts correctly?

A miss for the model: 55% for a Hearts win, 23% for a Trabzonspor win, and football chose the second. At 23%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.

Who was man of the match in Trabzonspor vs Hearts?

Franculino, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Trabzonspor vs Hearts?

L. Visser.