Trabzonspor 2-0 Gaziantep F.K.: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Süper Lig Matchday 10 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Papara Park, Trabzon · referee A. Taşkınsoy · full time
Full time: Trabzonspor 2-0 Gaziantep F.K.
Trabzonspor 2-0 Gaziantep F.K.: Trabzonspor took the points in Süper Lig Matchday 10 on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Papara Park. The goals: Stefan Savić 45+2', Ernest Muci 61'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Trabzonspor won it
The opening goal came in the 45th minute (+2): Stefan Savić for Trabzonspor, set up by Ernest Muci. Ernest Muci made it 2-0 to Trabzonspor in the 61st minute, set up by Noah Saviolo.
It was 1-0 at half-time.
The referee, A. Taşkınsoy, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Trabzonspor and 1 to Gaziantep F.K..
Trabzonspor: T. Reis, 4-1-4-1 · Gaziantep F.K.: O. Ak, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.25, and on 2-0 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Trabzonspor win at 68%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (10%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.5 and the match produced two.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 66%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 59%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Trabzonspor win at 70%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.80 for Trabzonspor and 1.37 for Gaziantep F.K..
Trabzonspor scored about 1.2 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Gaziantep F.K. left about 1.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Trabzonspor to create more, and Gaziantep F.K. did.
Trabzonspor had 6 shots on target, Gaziantep F.K. 6.
Trabzonspor's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Trabzonspor had 57% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Trabzonspor came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.74 expected goals for and 1.57 against, and had won 73% of their matches.
Gaziantep F.K. came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.17 expected goals for and 1.59 against, and had won 18% of their matches.
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K.: the match in numbers
| Trabzonspor | Match statistics | Gaziantep F.K. |
|---|---|---|
| 57% | Ball possession | 43% |
| 0.80 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.37 |
| 18 | Total shots | 13 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 3 | Big chances | 0 |
| 549 | Total passes | 403 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 16 | Tackles | 19 |
| 6 | Saves | 4 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Ernest Muci (Trabzonspor), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Trabzonspor
- Ernest Muci 8.2 1 goal, 1 assist
- André Onana 8.1
- Noah Saviolo 8.1 1 assist
- Chibuike Nwaiwu 7.8
- Stefan Savić 7.7 1 goal
Gaziantep F.K.
- Kerim Çalhanoğlu 7.2
- Juninho Bacuna 7.1
- Ataberk Dadakdeniz 7.1
- Drissa Camara 6.9
- Trivante Stewart 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Kacper Kozłowski at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor Sunday 22 November 2026 · Süper Lig
- Gaziantep F.K.: Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K. Saturday 21 November 2026 · Süper Lig
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K.
What was the score in Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K.?
Trabzonspor 2-0 Gaziantep F.K. (half-time 1-0), Süper Lig, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K.?
Stefan Savić 45+2', Ernest Muci 61'.
Did Moneyball predict Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K. correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.25, and on 2-0 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K.?
Ernest Muci, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K.?
A. Taşkınsoy.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.