Torreense 3-2 Ararat-Armenia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Torreense won it

Jorge Aguirre put Torreense ahead in the 13th minute, set up by Javi Vázquez. Ararat-Armenia levelled at 1-1 in the 41st minute through Karen Muradyan, set up by Zhirayr Shaghoyan. Ararat-Armenia turned it round: Bruno Wilson made it 1-2 in the 58th minute, set up by Artur Serobyan. Torreense levelled at 2-2 in the 90th minute (+3) through Javi Vázquez, set up by David Bruno. Torreense turned it round: Musa Drammeh made it 3-2 in the 90th minute (+5). It came late, and it settled the match.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands 2 times.

Jorge Aguirre of Torreense was sent off in the 25th minute. João Bravim of Ararat-Armenia was sent off in the 76th minute. The referee, M. Milanović, showed 9 yellow cards: 4 to Torreense and 5 to Ararat-Armenia.

Torreense: J. Rodrigues Carromeu, 4-2-3-1 · Ararat-Armenia: M. da Silva Cruz, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50, and on 3-2 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Torreense win at 50%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.6 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 48%; with 5 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 51%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Torreense win at 50%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Torreense had 5 shots on target, Ararat-Armenia 8.

Torreense's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Ararat-Armenia had 58% of the ball, but Torreense took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Torreense came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.08 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Ararat-Armenia came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 3.5 a match, with 0.94 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Javi Vázquez (Torreense), rated 8.4 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Torreense

• Javi Vázquez 8.4 1 goal, 1 assist
• Lucas Paes 7.4
• Alejandro Alfaro 7.2
• David Bruno 7.1 1 assist
• Musa Drammeh 6.9 1 goal

Ararat-Armenia

• Artur Serobyan 7.5 1 assist
• Zhirayr Shaghoyan 7.5 1 assist
• Balanta Jr. 7.4
• Bruno Wilson 7.2 1 goal
• Karen Muradyan 7.2 1 goal

The lowest-rated starter was Jorge Aguirre at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Torreense: Torreense vs Celtic Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League
• Ararat-Armenia: Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia

What was the score in Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?

Torreense 3-2 Ararat-Armenia (half-time 1-1), Europa League, Thursday 5 November 2026.

Who scored in Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?

Jorge Aguirre 13', Karen Muradyan 41', Bruno Wilson 58', Javi Vázquez 90+3', Musa Drammeh 90+5'.

Did Moneyball predict Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50, and on 3-2 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?

Javi Vázquez, rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?

M. Milanović.