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Torino 1-1 Lecce: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Torino 1-1 Lecce

Torino and Lecce drew 1-1 in Serie A Matchday 11 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.

How the match unfolded

Torino struck first through an own goal by Gaspar in the 60th minute. Lecce levelled at 1-1 in the 73rd minute through an own goal by Daniel Bragança.

It was 0-0 at half-time.

The referee, E. Feliciani, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to Torino and 2 to Lecce.

Torino: I. Abate, 3-5-2 · Lecce: E. Di Francesco, 3-5-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 2.50, was right: 1-1 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Torino win at 48%; a draw, at 27%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.6 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 47%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 51%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Torino win at 52%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.22 for Torino and 0.89 for Lecce.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Torino to create more, and Lecce did.

Torino had 2 shots on target, Lecce 1.

Torino had 64% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Torino came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.09 expected goals for and 1.54 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Lecce came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.18 expected goals for and 1.72 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Torino vs Lecce: the match in numbers

TorinoMatch statisticsLecce
64%Ball possession36%
0.22Expected goals (xG)0.89
9Total shots6
2Shots on target1
1Big chances0
648Total passes360
86%Pass accuracy76%
4Corners5
11Fouls16
1Offsides0
18Tackles17
1Saves2
0Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Saúl Coco (Torino), rated 7.3 by Sportmonks.

Torino

Lecce

The lowest-rated starter was Giovanni Simeone at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Torino vs Lecce

What was the score in Torino vs Lecce?

Torino 1-1 Lecce (half-time 0-0), Serie A, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Torino vs Lecce?

Sportmonks did not list the scorers.

Did Moneyball predict Torino vs Lecce correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 2.50, was right: 1-1 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Torino vs Lecce?

Saúl Coco, rated 7.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Torino vs Lecce?

E. Feliciani.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.