Tigre 1-0 Sarmiento: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 16 · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Estadio José Dellagiovanna, San Fernando · referee G. Pereira · full time
Full time: Tigre 1-0 Sarmiento
Tigre 1-0 Sarmiento: Tigre took the points in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 16 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Estadio José Dellagiovanna. The goals: Santiago López 70'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Tigre won it
Santiago López put Tigre ahead in the 70th minute, set up by Jabes Saralegui.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Gastón González of Sarmiento was sent off in the 50th minute. Lucas Suárez of Sarmiento was sent off in the 55th minute. The referee, G. Pereira, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Tigre and 1 to Sarmiento. Junior Marabel missed a penalty for Sarmiento in the 35 minute.
Tigre: J. Blengio, 4-4-2 · Sarmiento: F. Sava, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call on the result: 53% for a Tigre win before the match. The scoreline, 1-0, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.8 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 54%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-06, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.07 for Tigre and 1.25 for Sarmiento.
Sarmiento left about 1.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Tigre had 3 shots on target, Sarmiento 3.
Tigre had 61% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Tigre came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.28 expected goals for and 1.29 against, and had won 28% of their matches.
Sarmiento came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.03 expected goals for and 1.61 against, and had won 38% of their matches.
Tigre vs Sarmiento: the match in numbers
| Tigre | Match statistics | Sarmiento |
|---|---|---|
| 61% | Ball possession | 39% |
| 1.07 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.25 |
| 13 | Total shots | 10 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 4 | Big chances | 1 |
| 394 | Total passes | 255 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 65% |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 8 | Tackles | 8 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Felipe Zenobio (Tigre), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Tigre
- Felipe Zenobio 7.8
- Santiago López 7.8 1 goal
- Martín Garay 7.5
- Ignacio Peluffo 7.5
- Jabes Saralegui 7.3 1 assist
Sarmiento
- Gastón Arturia 7.0
- Mauricio Martínez 7.0
- Gabriel Díaz 6.8
- Manuel García 6.7
- Thiago Santamaría 6.6
The lowest-rated starter was Gastón González at 5.6. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
Questions about Tigre vs Sarmiento
What was the score in Tigre vs Sarmiento?
Tigre 1-0 Sarmiento (half-time 0-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in Tigre vs Sarmiento?
Santiago López 70'.
Did Moneyball predict Tigre vs Sarmiento correctly?
A correct call on the result: 53% for a Tigre win before the match. The scoreline, 1-0, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).
Who was man of the match in Tigre vs Sarmiento?
Felipe Zenobio, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Tigre vs Sarmiento?
G. Pereira.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.