MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Thun 3-1 Hearts: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Thun 3-1 Hearts

Thun beat Hearts 3-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 3 on Thursday 5 November 2026 at Stockhorn Arena. The goals: Brighton Labeau 34', Furkan Dursun 56', Stuart Findlay 82'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Thun won it

An own goal by Jamie McCart put Thun ahead in the 22nd minute. Brighton Labeau made it 2-0 to Thun in the 34th minute. Furkan Dursun made it 3-0 to Thun in the 56th minute, set up by Nils Reichmuth. Stuart Findlay made it 3-1 to Hearts in the 82nd minute, set up by Jordi Altena.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

The referee, K. Athanasiou, showed 5 yellow cards: 4 to Thun and 1 to Hearts.

Thun: G. Privitelli, 4-4-2 · Hearts: W. Vrancken, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A Thun win was the estimate's call at 39%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 2-0 was the likeliest, 3-1 the real one.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.5 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 45%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 51%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Thun had 8 shots on target, Hearts 4.

Hearts's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Hearts had 54% of the ball, but Thun took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Thun came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.31 expected goals for and – against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Hearts came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 2.09 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Thun vs Hearts: the match in numbers

ThunMatch statisticsHearts
46%Ball possession54%
18Total shots15
8Shots on target4
4Big chances2
305Total passes344
68%Pass accuracy71%
4Corners5
26Fouls8
2Offsides3
21Tackles21
3Saves6
4Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Stuart Findlay (Hearts), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Thun

Hearts

The lowest-rated starter was Olivier Mambwa at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Thun vs Hearts

What was the score in Thun vs Hearts?

Thun 3-1 Hearts (half-time 2-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 5 November 2026.

Who scored in Thun vs Hearts?

Brighton Labeau 34', Furkan Dursun 56', Stuart Findlay 82'.

Did Moneyball predict Thun vs Hearts correctly?

A Thun win was the estimate's call at 39%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 2-0 was the likeliest, 3-1 the real one.

Who was man of the match in Thun vs Hearts?

Stuart Findlay, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Thun vs Hearts?

K. Athanasiou.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.