Thun 0-1 Hajduk Split: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October 2026 · Stockhorn Arena, Thun · referee J. Gillett · full time
Full time: Thun 0-1 Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split won 1-0 away at Thun in Europa Conference League Matchday 2 on Thursday 22 October 2026. The goals: Dalisson de Almeida 17'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Hajduk Split won it
Hajduk Split struck first through Dalisson de Almeida in the 17th minute.
It was 0-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, J. Gillett, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Thun and 2 to Hajduk Split. Michele Sego missed a penalty for Hajduk Split in the 68 minute.
Thun: G. Privitelli, 4-4-2 · Hajduk Split: G. García García, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Hajduk Split win the most likely outcome at 57%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-2 rather than 0-1.
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 4.0 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 77%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 73%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Thun had 4 shots on target, Hajduk Split 4.
Thun had 54% of the ball, but Hajduk Split took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Thun came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.31 expected goals for and – against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Hajduk Split came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 0.81 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.
Thun vs Hajduk Split: the match in numbers
| Thun | Match statistics | Hajduk Split |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Ball possession | 46% |
| 12 | Total shots | 11 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 1 | Big chances | 2 |
| 400 | Total passes | 352 |
| 69% | Pass accuracy | 71% |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 23 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 22 | Tackles | 21 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Toni Silic (Hajduk Split), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Thun
- Niklas Steffen 7.1
- Nils Reichmuth 7.0
- Jan Bamert 7.0
- Justin Roth 6.9
- Brighton Labeau 6.8
Hajduk Split
- Toni Silic 8.0
- Dennis Hadzikadunic 7.7
- Dalisson de Almeida 7.4 1 goal
- Khalil Fayad 7.3
- Simun Hrgovic 7.3
The lowest-rated starter was Olivier Mambwa at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Thun: Ajax vs Thun Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
- Hajduk Split: Hajduk Split vs Sint-Truiden Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Thun vs Hajduk Split
What was the score in Thun vs Hajduk Split?
Thun 0-1 Hajduk Split (half-time 0-1), Europa Conference League, Thursday 22 October 2026.
Who scored in Thun vs Hajduk Split?
Dalisson de Almeida 17'.
Did Moneyball predict Thun vs Hajduk Split correctly?
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Hajduk Split win the most likely outcome at 57%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-2 rather than 0-1.
Who was man of the match in Thun vs Hajduk Split?
Toni Silic, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Thun vs Hajduk Split?
J. Gillett.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.