St. Louis City 0-1 San Diego: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How San Diego won it

Anders Dreyer put San Diego ahead in the 39th minute, set up by Alejandro Alvarado.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, J. Freemon, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to St. Louis City and 1 to San Diego.

St. Louis City: Y. Damet, 3-4-1-2 · San Diego: M. Varas, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a St. Louis City win at 50% and gave a San Diego win 27%; the match went the other way.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.4 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 65%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.86 for St. Louis City and 1.40 for San Diego.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected St. Louis City to create more, and San Diego did.

St. Louis City had 7 shots on target, San Diego 2.

San Diego's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

St. Louis City had 51% of the ball, but San Diego took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

St. Louis City came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.53 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 44% of their matches.

San Diego came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.67 expected goals for and 1.67 against, and had won 26% of their matches.

St. Louis City vs San Diego: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Pablo Sisniega (San Diego), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

St. Louis City

• Carlo Holse 7.5
• Chris Durkin 7.4
• Conrad Wallem 7.3
• Tomas Totland 7.3
• Fallou Fall 7.1

San Diego

• Pablo Sisniega 8.3
• Anders Dreyer 7.6 1 goal
• Manu Duah 7.2
• Dagur Dan Thórhallsson 7.2
• Alejandro Alvarado 7.1 1 assist

The lowest-rated starter was Bryan Zamblé at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• St. Louis City: St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC Tuesday 24 November 2026 · MLS

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about St. Louis City vs San Diego

What was the score in St. Louis City vs San Diego?

St. Louis City 0-1 San Diego (half-time 0-1), MLS, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in St. Louis City vs San Diego?

Anders Dreyer 39'.

Did Moneyball predict St. Louis City vs San Diego correctly?

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a St. Louis City win at 50% and gave a San Diego win 27%; the match went the other way.

Who was man of the match in St. Louis City vs San Diego?

Pablo Sisniega, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed St. Louis City vs San Diego?

J. Freemon.