Sporting CP 1-2 Academico Viseu: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Portugal Matchday 9 · Sunday 25 October 2026 · Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa · referee M. Bertolo Nogueira · full time
Full time: Sporting CP 1-2 Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu beat Sporting CP 2-1 in Liga Portugal Matchday 9 on Sunday 25 October 2026 at Estádio José Alvalade. The goals: João Guilherme 24', Luis Suárez 62', João Guilherme 74'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Academico Viseu won it
The opening goal came in the 24th minute: João Guilherme for Academico Viseu, set up by Robinho. Sporting CP levelled at 1-1 in the 62nd minute through Luis Suárez, set up by Iván Fresneda Corraliza. João Guilherme made it 1-2 to Academico Viseu in the 74th minute, set up by Soufiane Messeguem.
It was 0-1 at half-time.
João Guilherme scored twice.
The referee, M. Bertolo Nogueira, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to Sporting CP and 4 to Academico Viseu.
Sporting CP: R. Gomes Borges, 4-2-3-1 · Academico Viseu: B. Nogueira Pinheiro, 5-4-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Sporting CP win at 64% and gave an Academico Viseu win 15%; the match went the other way. At 15%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 7.
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 56%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.78 for Sporting CP and 2.87 for Academico Viseu.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Sporting CP to create more, and Academico Viseu did.
Sporting CP had 4 shots on target, Academico Viseu 3.
Sporting CP had 71% of the ball, but Academico Viseu took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Sporting CP came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.92 expected goals for and 0.88 against, and had won 64% of their matches.
Academico Viseu came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and 1.78 against, and had won 55% of their matches.
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu: the match in numbers
| Sporting CP | Match statistics | Academico Viseu |
|---|---|---|
| 71% | Ball possession | 29% |
| 0.78 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.87 |
| 28 | Total shots | 9 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 2 | Big chances | 4 |
| 594 | Total passes | 251 |
| 91% | Pass accuracy | 75% |
| 11 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 17 | Tackles | 16 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: João Guilherme (Academico Viseu), rated 8.4 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Sporting CP
- Nestory Irankunda 8.1
- Ibrahima Ba 7.6
- Maxi Araújo 7.5
- Luis Suárez 7.3 1 goal
- Iván Fresneda Corraliza 7.3 1 assist
Academico Viseu
- João Guilherme 8.4 2 goals
- Nikolaos Michelis 7.3
- Soufiane Messeguem 7.1 1 assist
- Robinho 7.0 1 assist
- Ewerton 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Issa Doumbia at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Sporting CP: Sporting CP vs Manchester United Wednesday 25 November 2026 · Champions League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu
What was the score in Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu?
Sporting CP 1-2 Academico Viseu (half-time 0-1), Liga Portugal, Sunday 25 October 2026.
Who scored in Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu?
João Guilherme 24', Luis Suárez 62', João Guilherme 74'.
Did Moneyball predict Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu correctly?
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Sporting CP win at 64% and gave an Academico Viseu win 15%; the match went the other way. At 15%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 7.
Who was man of the match in Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu?
João Guilherme, rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu?
M. Bertolo Nogueira.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.