MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Spartak Moskva 2-1 Akron: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Spartak Moskva 2-1 Akron

Spartak Moskva beat Akron 2-1 in Russian Premier League Matchday 14 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Lukoil Arena. The goals: Stefan Loncar 58', Danil Prutsev 64'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.

How Spartak Moskva won it

The opening goal came in the 42nd minute: an own goal by Slobodan Tedic for Spartak Moskva. Akron levelled at 1-1 in the 58th minute through Stefan Loncar, set up by Artem Shumanskiy. Danil Prutsev made it 2-1 to Spartak Moskva in the 64th minute, set up by Esequiel Barco.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

Aleksandr Maksimenko of Spartak Moskva was sent off in the 84th minute. The referee, R. Shafeev, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Spartak Moskva and 3 to Akron.

Spartak Moskva: J. Carcedo Mardones, 4-2-3-1 · Akron: S. Blagojević, 4-1-3-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Right result, right score: 2-1 was the estimate's most likely scoreline at 10%, and it came in.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 58%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 51%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.66 for Spartak Moskva and 1.91 for Akron.

Spartak Moskva scored about 1.3 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Akron created the better chances, 1.91 xG to 0.66, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Spartak Moskva to create more, and Akron did.

Spartak Moskva had 6 shots on target, Akron 5.

Akron's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Spartak Moskva had 56% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Spartak Moskva came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.86 expected goals for and 1.09 against, and had won 64% of their matches.

Akron came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.02 expected goals for and 1.42 against, and had won 14% of their matches.

Spartak Moskva vs Akron: the match in numbers

Spartak MoskvaMatch statisticsAkron
56%Ball possession44%
0.66Expected goals (xG)1.91
18Total shots11
6Shots on target5
3Big chances0
469Total passes368
83%Pass accuracy80%
11Corners3
6Fouls14
3Offsides1
17Tackles20
4Saves5
1Yellow cards3
1Red cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Danil Prutsev (Spartak Moskva), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Spartak Moskva

Akron

The lowest-rated starter was Marat Bokoev at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Spartak Moskva vs Akron

What was the score in Spartak Moskva vs Akron?

Spartak Moskva 2-1 Akron (half-time 1-0), Russian Premier League, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Spartak Moskva vs Akron?

Stefan Loncar 58', Danil Prutsev 64'.

Did Moneyball predict Spartak Moskva vs Akron correctly?

Right result, right score: 2-1 was the estimate's most likely scoreline at 10%, and it came in.

Who was man of the match in Spartak Moskva vs Akron?

Danil Prutsev, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Spartak Moskva vs Akron?

R. Shafeev.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.