Southampton 4-1 Queens Park Rangers: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Championship Matchday 13 · Saturday 31 October 2026 · St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton · referee T. Robinson · full time
Full time: Southampton 4-1 Queens Park Rangers
Southampton 4-1 Queens Park Rangers: Southampton took the points in Championship Matchday 13 on Saturday 31 October 2026 at St. Mary's Stadium. The goals: Kuryu Matsuki 11', Cameron Bragg 55', Keven Schlotterbeck 66', Richard Kone 68', Welington 90+5'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Southampton won it
Southampton struck first through Kuryu Matsuki in the 11th minute. Cameron Bragg made it 2-0 to Southampton in the 55th minute, set up by Ryan Manning. Keven Schlotterbeck made it 3-0 to Southampton in the 66th minute, set up by Ryan Manning. Richard Kone made it 3-1 to Queens Park Rangers in the 68th minute, set up by Karamoko Dembélé. Welington made it 4-1 to Southampton in the 90th minute (+5).
It was 1-0 at half-time.
The referee, T. Robinson, showed 3 yellow cards: 0 to Southampton and 3 to Queens Park Rangers.
Southampton: T. Eckert, 4-2-3-1 · Queens Park Rangers: J. Stéphan, 4-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call on the result: 44% for a Southampton win before the match. The scoreline, 4-1, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.0 goals and there were 5.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 58%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 60%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.10 for Southampton and 1.59 for Queens Park Rangers.
Southampton scored about 2.9 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Southampton to create more, and Queens Park Rangers did.
Southampton had 9 shots on target, Queens Park Rangers 2.
Queens Park Rangers's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Southampton had 54% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Southampton came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.74 expected goals for and 1.53 against, and had won 53% of their matches.
Queens Park Rangers came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.83 expected goals for and 1.19 against, and had won 40% of their matches.
Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers: the match in numbers
| Southampton | Match statistics | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Ball possession | 46% |
| 1.10 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.59 |
| 19 | Total shots | 12 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 4 | Big chances | 0 |
| 499 | Total passes | 417 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 9 | Tackles | 15 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Ryan Manning (Southampton), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 2 assists.
Southampton
- Ryan Manning 8.3 2 assists
- Cameron Bragg 8.0 1 goal
- Keven Schlotterbeck 7.9 1 goal
- Léo Scienza 7.6
- Welington 7.3 1 goal
Queens Park Rangers
- Richard Kone 7.4 1 goal
- Jonathan Varane 7.0
- Paul Smyth 6.9
- Pierce Charles 6.8
- Harvey Vale 6.7
The lowest-rated starter was Kealey Adamson at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Southampton: Southampton vs Derby County Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
- Queens Park Rangers: Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers
What was the score in Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers?
Southampton 4-1 Queens Park Rangers (half-time 1-0), Championship, Saturday 31 October 2026.
Who scored in Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers?
Kuryu Matsuki 11', Cameron Bragg 55', Keven Schlotterbeck 66', Richard Kone 68', Welington 90+5'.
Did Moneyball predict Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers correctly?
A correct call on the result: 44% for a Southampton win before the match. The scoreline, 4-1, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).
Who was man of the match in Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers?
Ryan Manning, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers?
T. Robinson.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.