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SK Beveren 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: SK Beveren 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise

Union Saint-Gilloise won 2-1 away at SK Beveren in Belgian Pro League Matchday 10 on Saturday 31 October 2026. The goals: Louis Patris 44', Guilherme Smith 55', Arno Verschueren 60'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.

How Union Saint-Gilloise won it

Louis Patris put Union Saint-Gilloise ahead in the 44th minute, set up by Besfort Zeneli. Guilherme Smith made it 0-2 to Union Saint-Gilloise in the 55th minute, set up by Louis Patris. Arno Verschueren made it 1-2 to SK Beveren in the 60th minute, set up by Christophe Janssens.

It was 0-1 at half-time.

Dylan Aquino of Union Saint-Gilloise was sent off in the 53rd minute. The referee, B. Put, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to SK Beveren and 1 to Union Saint-Gilloise.

SK Beveren: T. Bakens, 4-2-3-1 · Union Saint-Gilloise: D. Hubert, 3-4-1-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Right result, right score: 1-2 was the estimate's most likely scoreline at 10%, and it came in.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.5 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 67%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 60%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.07 for SK Beveren and 0.53 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

Union Saint-Gilloise made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.5 goals.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Union Saint-Gilloise to create more, and SK Beveren did.

SK Beveren had 4 shots on target, Union Saint-Gilloise 4.

SK Beveren had 54% of the ball, but Union Saint-Gilloise took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

SK Beveren came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.05 expected goals for and 2.04 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Union Saint-Gilloise came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.6 a match, with 1.91 expected goals for and 1.11 against, and had won 82% of their matches.

SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise: the match in numbers

SK BeverenMatch statisticsUnion Saint-Gilloise
54%Ball possession46%
1.07Expected goals (xG)0.53
7Total shots5
4Shots on target4
0Big chances3
474Total passes426
81%Pass accuracy82%
6Corners3
13Fouls11
1Offsides4
12Tackles21
2Saves3
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Louis Patris (Union Saint-Gilloise), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

SK Beveren

Union Saint-Gilloise

The lowest-rated starter was Jearl Margaritha at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise

What was the score in SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

SK Beveren 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise (half-time 0-1), Belgian Pro League, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Louis Patris 44', Guilherme Smith 55', Arno Verschueren 60'.

Did Moneyball predict SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise correctly?

Right result, right score: 1-2 was the estimate's most likely scoreline at 10%, and it came in.

Who was man of the match in SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Louis Patris, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

B. Put.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.