SJ Earthquakes 2-2 Colorado Rapids: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

Reid Roberts put SJ Earthquakes ahead in the 15th minute, set up by Timo Werner. Colorado Rapids levelled at 1-1 in the 26th minute through Morgan Whittaker, set up by Wayne Frederick. Colorado Rapids turned it round: Darren Yapi made it 1-2 in the 73rd minute, set up by Georgi Minoungou. SJ Earthquakes levelled at 2-2 in the 83rd minute through Jack Jasinski, set up by Niko Tsakiris.

It was 1-1 at half-time.

The lead changed hands once.

Timo Werner of SJ Earthquakes was sent off in the 71st minute. Kosi Thompson of Colorado Rapids was sent off in the 75th minute. The referee, R. Touchan, showed 7 yellow cards: 2 to SJ Earthquakes and 5 to Colorado Rapids.

SJ Earthquakes: B. Arena, 4-2-3-1 · Colorado Rapids: M. Wells, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a SJ Earthquakes win the likeliest outcome (39%), and a draw, at 28%, is what happened.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.6 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 47%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 53%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-28, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.01 for SJ Earthquakes and 2.71 for Colorado Rapids.

Colorado Rapids created the better chances, 2.71 xG to 1.01, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected SJ Earthquakes to create more, and Colorado Rapids did.

SJ Earthquakes had 8 shots on target, Colorado Rapids 3.

Colorado Rapids's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Colorado Rapids had 55% of the ball.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

SJ Earthquakes came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.78 expected goals for and 1.39 against, and had won 41% of their matches.

Colorado Rapids came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.49 expected goals for and 1.34 against, and had won 35% of their matches.

SJ Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Reid Roberts (SJ Earthquakes), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

SJ Earthquakes

• Reid Roberts 7.8 1 goal
• Niko Tsakiris 7.7 1 assist
• Jack Jasinski 7.6 1 goal
• Timo Werner 7.2 1 assist
• Ousseni Bouda 7.2

Colorado Rapids

• Morgan Whittaker 7.4 1 goal
• Nicolas Hansen 7.3
• Darren Yapi 7.0 1 goal
• Paxten Aaronson 6.9
• Loïc Williams 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Kosi Thompson at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• SJ Earthquakes: SJ Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo Wednesday 25 November 2026 · MLS

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about SJ Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids

What was the score in SJ Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

SJ Earthquakes 2-2 Colorado Rapids (half-time 1-1), MLS, Thursday 29 October 2026.

Who scored in SJ Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

Reid Roberts 15', Morgan Whittaker 26', Darren Yapi 73', Jack Jasinski 83'.

Did Moneyball predict SJ Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids correctly?

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a SJ Earthquakes win the likeliest outcome (39%), and a draw, at 28%, is what happened.

Who was man of the match in SJ Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

Reid Roberts, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed SJ Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

R. Touchan.