Sint-Truiden 4–1 Zulte Waregem: Result, Report and Stats
Pro League · Monday 9 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Sint-Truiden 4 – 1 Zulte Waregem
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave Sint-Truiden win 51%. The result went the way the consensus leaned.
- 5 goals in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
Sint-Truiden welcome Zulte Waregem to Stayen Stadion in St.-Trond in Pro League action on Monday 9 November 2026.
Sint-Truiden have played 11 matches in Pro League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 27% of them. At home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate. Zulte Waregem have played 11 matches in Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Sint-Truiden are narrow favourites at 51%, with the draw at 25% and Zulte Waregem at 24%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3 goals: 51%.
Sint-Truiden: form and key numbers
In style Sint-Truiden keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.21 a match created, 1.64 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.4).
- Shots: 16.2 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 57.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Zulte Waregem: form and key numbers
In style Zulte Waregem are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.24 a match created, 1.55 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 40.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Sint-Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: season averages side by side
| Sint-Truiden | Per match | Zulte Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| 2.21 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.24 |
| 1.64 | xG conceded | 1.55 |
| 2.00 | Goals | 1.18 |
| 16.2 | Shots | 11.4 |
| 5.0 | Shots on target | 4.1 |
| 2.0 | Big chances missed | 0.7 |
| 58.3 | Pressure share % | 47.2 |
| 17.9 | Tackles | 19.1 |
| 10.8 | Fouls | 11.6 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 11 and 11 measured matches.
Sint-Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Sint-Truiden have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of the last 3 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Sint-Truiden 9, Zulte Waregem 3 - 4.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Sint-Truiden 4-1 Zulte Waregem (November 8th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 3 meetings Sint-Truiden won 3, drew 0 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Sint-Truiden | 4 – 1 | Zulte Waregem |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Sint-Truiden | 3 – 2 | Zulte Waregem |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Zulte Waregem | 0 – 2 | Sint-Truiden |
Players to watch
Sint-Truiden
- Visar Musliu CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 67 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 10% of his position)
- Samed Bazdar CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 58 · Chance creator, Rarely wastes a big chance (top 17% of his position)
Zulte Waregem
- Yannick Cappelle LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 57 · Reads the game, Crosser (top 8% of his position)
- Brent Gabriël GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 48 · Shot-stopper, Secure passer (top 22% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ilias Sebaoui
Ilias Sebaoui, 25 · Sint-Truiden · LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 61
Ilias Sebaoui, 25, plays as a winger for Sint-Truiden in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 61
- LM · Wide midfielder Competent, 37
- RW · Winger Competent, 37
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.65 / 90 | 98% |
| Shots | 3.88 / 90 | 93% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.95 / 90 | 70% |
| Big chances created | 0.38 / 90 | 59% |
| Fouls won | 1.99 / 90 | 54% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume.
- What Ilias Sebaoui is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ilias Sebaoui's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Sint-Truiden vs Zulte Waregem prediction
Sint-Truiden should have more of the ball, with Zulte Waregem likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Sint-Truiden work the ball wide and cross; Zulte Waregem go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals - 2.48 for Sint-Truiden and 1.42 for Zulte Waregem - with over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 70%. Sint-Truiden have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Sint-Truiden 3-1 Zulte Waregem
Sint-Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: what the numbers say
- 1. Sint-Truiden unbeaten (win or draw) 76% between them
- 2. 4 or more goals 55% by the model, 3.90 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 70% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.2 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 10.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Sint-Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: questions and answers
When is Sint-Truiden vs Zulte Waregem?
Sint-Truiden vs Zulte Waregem is on Monday 9 November 2026, in Pro League.
Where is Sint-Truiden vs Zulte Waregem played?
At Stayen Stadion, St.-Trond, Sint-Truiden's home ground.
Who will win Sint-Truiden vs Zulte Waregem?
Sint-Truiden are the favourites: Sint-Truiden 51%, draw 25%, Zulte Waregem 24%. Our prediction is Sint-Truiden 3-1 Zulte Waregem.
Who is the player to watch in Sint-Truiden vs Zulte Waregem?
Ilias Sebaoui of Sint-Truiden: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 61 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sint-Truiden vs Zulte Waregem?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 75%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.