Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 AEK Athens: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Shakhtar Donetsk won it

The opening goal came in the 28th minute: Lovro Majer for AEK Athens, set up by Stavros Pilios. Shakhtar Donetsk levelled at 1-1 in the 34th minute through Pedrinho from the penalty spot. Shakhtar Donetsk turned it round: Vinícius Tobias made it 2-1 in the 80th minute, set up by Alisson. Gleiker Mendoza made it 3-1 to Shakhtar Donetsk in the 86th minute, set up by Isaque.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, C. Kavanagh, showed 5 yellow cards: 1 to Shakhtar Donetsk and 4 to AEK Athens.

Shakhtar Donetsk: A. Turan, 4-1-4-1 · AEK Athens: M. Nikolić, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an AEK Athens win the likeliest outcome (49%), and a Shakhtar Donetsk win, at 21%, is what happened. At 21%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 5.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.1 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 35%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 40%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Shakhtar Donetsk had 4 shots on target, AEK Athens 3.

Shakhtar Donetsk had 54% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Shakhtar Donetsk came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

AEK Athens came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.8 a match, with 1.43 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Vinícius Tobias (Shakhtar Donetsk), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Shakhtar Donetsk

• Vinícius Tobias 8.0 1 goal
• Alisson 7.8 1 assist
• Pedro Henrique 7.4
• Gleiker Mendoza 7.4 1 goal
• Pedrinho 7.0 1 goal

AEK Athens

• Lovro Majer 7.7 1 goal
• Luka Jović 7.1
• Răzvan Marin 7.0
• Stavros Pilios 6.8 1 assist
• Harold Moukoudi 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Filipe Relvas at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Shakhtar Donetsk: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe Wednesday 25 November 2026 · Champions League
• AEK Athens: Como vs AEK Athens Tuesday 24 November 2026 · Champions League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens

What was the score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?

Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 AEK Athens (half-time 1-1), Champions League, Wednesday 14 October 2026.

Who scored in Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?

Lovro Majer 28', Pedrinho 34', Vinícius Tobias 80', Gleiker Mendoza 86'.

Did Moneyball predict Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens correctly?

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an AEK Athens win the likeliest outcome (49%), and a Shakhtar Donetsk win, at 21%, is what happened. At 21%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 5.

Who was man of the match in Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?

Vinícius Tobias, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?

C. Kavanagh.