Seattle Sounders 0-1 Houston Dynamo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Houston Dynamo won it

Lucas Halter put Houston Dynamo ahead in the 26th minute, set up by Mateusz Bogusz.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, L. Hernandez, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Seattle Sounders and 1 to Houston Dynamo.

Seattle Sounders: B. Schmetzer, 4-2-3-1 · Houston Dynamo: B. Olsen, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Seattle Sounders -0.50, and on 0-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Seattle Sounders win at 47%; a Houston Dynamo win, at 26%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.7 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 50%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 54%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Seattle Sounders win at 49%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-28, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.37 for Seattle Sounders and 1.93 for Houston Dynamo.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Seattle Sounders to create more, and Houston Dynamo did.

Seattle Sounders had 5 shots on target, Houston Dynamo 1.

Houston Dynamo's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Seattle Sounders had 71% of the ball, but Houston Dynamo took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Seattle Sounders came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.44 expected goals for and 1.63 against, and had won 35% of their matches.

Houston Dynamo came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.09 expected goals for and 1.79 against, and had won 41% of their matches.

Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Cristian Roldán (Seattle Sounders), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Seattle Sounders

• Cristian Roldán 8.0
• Albert Rusnák 7.8
• Jackson Ragen 7.1
• Álex Roldán 7.1
• Paul Arriola 7.0

Houston Dynamo

• Jonathan Bond 7.7
• Lucas Halter 7.6 1 goal
• Franco Negri 7.4
• Agustin Resch 7.3
• Diadié Samassékou 7.1

The lowest-rated starter was Kalani Kossa-Rienzi at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Seattle Sounders: Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake Friday 20 November 2026 · MLS
• Houston Dynamo: SJ Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo Wednesday 25 November 2026 · MLS

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo

What was the score in Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?

Seattle Sounders 0-1 Houston Dynamo (half-time 0-1), MLS, Thursday 29 October 2026.

Who scored in Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?

Lucas Halter 26'.

Did Moneyball predict Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Seattle Sounders -0.50, and on 0-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?

Cristian Roldán, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?

L. Hernandez.