SC Heerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Eredivisie Matchday 11 · Saturday 31 October 2026 · Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen · referee S. van der Eijk · full time
Full time: SC Heerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen
SC Heerenveen won 1-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen in Eredivisie Matchday 11 on Saturday 31 October 2026. The goals: Dylan Vente 66'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How SC Heerenveen won it
SC Heerenveen struck first through Dylan Vente in the 66th minute, set up by Levi Smans.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, S. van der Eijk, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to SC Heerenveen and 3 to NEC Nijmegen.
SC Heerenveen: R. Veldman, 4-2-3-1 · NEC Nijmegen: D. Schreuder, 3-1-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call on the result: 46% for a SC Heerenveen win before the match. The scoreline, 1-0, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.2 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 64%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.75 for SC Heerenveen and 1.57 for NEC Nijmegen.
NEC Nijmegen left about 1.6 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
SC Heerenveen had 2 shots on target, NEC Nijmegen 1.
NEC Nijmegen had 62% of the ball, but SC Heerenveen took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
SC Heerenveen came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.65 expected goals for and 1.65 against, and had won 50% of their matches.
NEC Nijmegen came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.88 expected goals for and 1.69 against, and had won 25% of their matches.
SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen: the match in numbers
| SC Heerenveen | Match statistics | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| 38% | Ball possession | 62% |
| 1.75 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.57 |
| 8 | Total shots | 21 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 4 | Big chances | 1 |
| 343 | Total passes | 548 |
| 78% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 10 | Tackles | 11 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Tjaronn Chery (NEC Nijmegen), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.
SC Heerenveen
- Dylan Vente 7.7 1 goal
- Sam Kersten 7.4
- Levi Smans 7.3 1 assist
- Jacob Trenskow 7.3
- Marcus Linday 7.0
NEC Nijmegen
- Tjaronn Chery 8.1
- Noé Lebreton 7.3
- Ahmetcan Kaplan 7.3
- Jamiro Monteiro 7.3
- Tobias Storm 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Maxence Rivera at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- SC Heerenveen: FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen Saturday 21 November 2026 · Eredivisie
- NEC Nijmegen: NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Saturday 21 November 2026 · Eredivisie
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen
What was the score in SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
SC Heerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen (half-time 0-0), Eredivisie, Saturday 31 October 2026.
Who scored in SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
Dylan Vente 66'.
Did Moneyball predict SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen correctly?
A correct call on the result: 46% for a SC Heerenveen win before the match. The scoreline, 1-0, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).
Who was man of the match in SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
Tjaronn Chery, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
S. van der Eijk.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.