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SC Cambuur 2-5 PSV: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: SC Cambuur 2-5 PSV

SC Cambuur 2-5 PSV: PSV took the points in Eredivisie Matchday 12 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Kooi Stadion. The goals: Sven Mijnans 1', Sven Mijnans 15', Ruben van Bommel 19', Nicky Souren 41', Iwan Henstra 78', Sven Mijnans 80', Ayoni Santos 90+2'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How PSV won it

PSV struck first through Sven Mijnans in the 1st minute, set up by Esmir Bajraktarevic. Sven Mijnans made it 0-2 to PSV in the 15th minute, set up by Ruben van Bommel. Ruben van Bommel made it 0-3 to PSV in the 19th minute, set up by Esmir Bajraktarevic. Nicky Souren made it 1-3 to SC Cambuur in the 41st minute, set up by Rafik El Arguioui. Iwan Henstra made it 2-3 to SC Cambuur in the 78th minute, set up by Rafik El Arguioui. Sven Mijnans made it 2-4 to PSV in the 80th minute. Ayoni Santos made it 2-5 to PSV in the 90th minute (+2), set up by Kodai Sano.

It was 1-3 at half-time.

Sven Mijnans scored a hat-trick.

The referee, S. van der Eijk, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to SC Cambuur and 2 to PSV.

SC Cambuur: J. Plat, 4-4-2 · PSV: P. Bosz, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was PSV Eindhoven Win, and on 2-5 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a PSV win at 65%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-2 (9%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.8 goals and there were 7.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 71%; with 7 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 66%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a PSV win at 68%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.51 for SC Cambuur and 1.10 for PSV.

PSV made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.9 goals.

SC Cambuur created the better chances, 2.51 xG to 1.10, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected PSV to create more, and SC Cambuur did.

SC Cambuur had 3 shots on target, PSV 7.

PSV had 62% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

SC Cambuur came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.39 expected goals for and 1.72 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

PSV came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 3.3 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 2.41 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 67% of their matches.

SC Cambuur vs PSV: the match in numbers

SC CambuurMatch statisticsPSV
38%Ball possession62%
2.51Expected goals (xG)1.10
10Total shots16
3Shots on target7
1Big chances5
314Total passes523
75%Pass accuracy83%
1Corners1
11Fouls19
3Offsides1
19Tackles14
1Saves1
3Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Sven Mijnans (PSV), rated 9.2 by Sportmonks, with 3 goals.

SC Cambuur

PSV

The lowest-rated starter was Thijs Jansen at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about SC Cambuur vs PSV

What was the score in SC Cambuur vs PSV?

SC Cambuur 2-5 PSV (half-time 1-3), Eredivisie, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in SC Cambuur vs PSV?

Sven Mijnans 1', Sven Mijnans 15', Ruben van Bommel 19', Nicky Souren 41', Iwan Henstra 78', Sven Mijnans 80', Ayoni Santos 90+2'.

Did Moneyball predict SC Cambuur vs PSV correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was PSV Eindhoven Win, and on 2-5 it was right.

Who was man of the match in SC Cambuur vs PSV?

Sven Mijnans, rated 9.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed SC Cambuur vs PSV?

S. van der Eijk.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.