MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

SC Cambuur 4-0 Go Ahead Eagles: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: SC Cambuur 4-0 Go Ahead Eagles

SC Cambuur won 4-0 at home to Go Ahead Eagles in Eredivisie Matchday 11 on Saturday 31 October 2026. The goals: Ismaël Baouf 7', Jason Ceka 15', Billy van Duijl 41', Rafik El Arguioui 80'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How SC Cambuur won it

Ismaël Baouf put SC Cambuur ahead in the 7th minute, set up by Rafik El Arguioui. Jason Ceka made it 2-0 to SC Cambuur in the 15th minute, set up by Devid Eugene Bouah. Billy van Duijl made it 3-0 to SC Cambuur in the 41st minute, set up by Ilyes Hamache. Rafik El Arguioui made it 4-0 to SC Cambuur in the 80th minute, set up by Sami Bouhoudane.

It was 3-0 at half-time.

The referee, S. Gözübüyük, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to SC Cambuur and 1 to Go Ahead Eagles.

SC Cambuur: J. Plat, 4-3-3 · Go Ahead Eagles: J. Oosting, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call on the result: 41% for a SC Cambuur win before the match. The scoreline, 4-0, was not the estimate's first choice (3-1).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.9 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 74%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 74%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.63 for SC Cambuur and 1.41 for Go Ahead Eagles.

SC Cambuur scored about 3.4 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Go Ahead Eagles left about 1.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected SC Cambuur to create more, and Go Ahead Eagles did.

SC Cambuur had 7 shots on target, Go Ahead Eagles 1.

SC Cambuur had 51% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

SC Cambuur came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.39 expected goals for and 1.72 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Go Ahead Eagles came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.61 expected goals for and 1.68 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

SC Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles: the match in numbers

SC CambuurMatch statisticsGo Ahead Eagles
51%Ball possession49%
0.63Expected goals (xG)1.41
15Total shots10
7Shots on target1
2Big chances1
388Total passes371
83%Pass accuracy78%
7Corners2
10Fouls9
2Offsides3
14Tackles11
1Saves3
2Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Rafik El Arguioui (SC Cambuur), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

SC Cambuur

Go Ahead Eagles

The lowest-rated starter was Alfons Sampsted at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about SC Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles

What was the score in SC Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles?

SC Cambuur 4-0 Go Ahead Eagles (half-time 3-0), Eredivisie, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in SC Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Ismaël Baouf 7', Jason Ceka 15', Billy van Duijl 41', Rafik El Arguioui 80'.

Did Moneyball predict SC Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles correctly?

A correct call on the result: 41% for a SC Cambuur win before the match. The scoreline, 4-0, was not the estimate's first choice (3-1).

Who was man of the match in SC Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Rafik El Arguioui, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed SC Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles?

S. Gözübüyük.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.