Santos 0-0 Palmeiras: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Brasileirão Matchday 33 · Wednesday 28 October 2026 · Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos · referee F. Rodrigues De Souza · full time
Full time: Santos 0-0 Palmeiras
Santos and Palmeiras drew 0-0 in Brasileirão Matchday 33 on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at Estádio Urbano Caldeira. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How the match unfolded
Neither side found a way through. Santos and Palmeiras shared a goalless draw, and the ninety minutes were decided by the defences and the goalkeepers rather than the forwards.
The referee, F. Rodrigues De Souza, showed 8 yellow cards: 3 to Santos and 5 to Palmeiras.
Santos: A. Stival, 4-2-3-1 · Palmeiras: A. Moreira Ferreira, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Under 2.50, and 0-0 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Palmeiras win at 38%; a draw, at 28%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.6 and the match produced none.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 49%; with 0 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 54%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-28, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.11 for Santos and 1.49 for Palmeiras.
Santos scored about 2.1 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Palmeiras left about 1.5 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Palmeiras to create more, and Santos did.
Santos had 5 shots on target, Palmeiras 5.
Santos's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Palmeiras had 51% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Santos came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.32 against, and had won 35% of their matches.
Palmeiras came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.54 expected goals for and 1.01 against, and had won 62% of their matches.
Santos vs Palmeiras: the match in numbers
| Santos | Match statistics | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| 49% | Ball possession | 51% |
| 2.11 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.49 |
| 16 | Total shots | 14 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 2 | Big chances | 4 |
| 492 | Total passes | 498 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 84% |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 16 | Tackles | 17 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Gabriel Bontempo (Santos), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Santos
- Gabriel Bontempo 8.0
- Diógenes 7.8
- Álvaro Barreal 7.5
- Rodinei 7.4
- Luan Peres 7.3
Palmeiras
- Carlos Miguel 7.9
- José Manuel López 7.7
- Arthur Gabriel 7.4
- Marlon Freitas 7.3
- Alexander Barboza 7.3
The lowest-rated starter was Gabriel Barbosa at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Santos: Coritiba vs Santos Wednesday 18 November 2026 · Brasileirão
- Palmeiras: Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras Wednesday 18 November 2026 · Brasileirão
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Santos vs Palmeiras
What was the score in Santos vs Palmeiras?
Santos 0-0 Palmeiras (half-time 0-0), Brasileirão, Wednesday 28 October 2026.
Who scored in Santos vs Palmeiras?
Nobody: the match finished 0-0.
Did Moneyball predict Santos vs Palmeiras correctly?
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Under 2.50, and 0-0 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Santos vs Palmeiras?
Gabriel Bontempo, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Santos vs Palmeiras?
F. Rodrigues De Souza.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.