Santa Clara 1-2 Gil Vicente: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Gil Vicente won it

An own goal by Antonio Espigares Morillas put Santa Clara ahead in the 29th minute. Gil Vicente levelled at 1-1 in the 52nd minute through Walace França, set up by Murilo de Souza Costa. Gil Vicente turned it round: Murilo de Souza Costa made it 1-2 in the 81st minute.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

Pedro Pacheco of Santa Clara was sent off in the 62nd minute. The referee, D. Rosa, showed 7 yellow cards: 5 to Santa Clara and 2 to Gil Vicente.

Santa Clara: Petit, 4-3-3 · Gil Vicente: L. Correia Pinto, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 1.75, was right: 1-2 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Santa Clara win at 39%; a Gil Vicente win, at 31%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.3 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 39%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 47%; both did, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Santa Clara win at 40%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.39 for Santa Clara and 0.54 for Gil Vicente.

Gil Vicente made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.5 goals.

Santa Clara created the better chances, 1.39 xG to 0.54, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Santa Clara had 0 shots on target, Gil Vicente 4.

Santa Clara had 54% of the ball, but Gil Vicente took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Santa Clara came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.30 expected goals for and 1.04 against, and had won 55% of their matches.

Gil Vicente came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.33 expected goals for and 0.89 against, and had won 45% of their matches.

Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Murilo de Souza Costa (Gil Vicente), rated 8.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Santa Clara

• Brenner 7.1
• Vinícius Lopes 7.0
• Vasconcelos 6.9
• Fernando 6.8
• Djé 6.8

Gil Vicente

• Murilo de Souza Costa 8.5 1 goal, 1 assist
• Walace França 8.0 1 goal
• Buatu 7.5
• Gil Martins 7.3
• David Moreira 7.0

The lowest-rated starter was Lucas Soares at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

Questions about Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente

What was the score in Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

Santa Clara 1-2 Gil Vicente (half-time 1-0), Liga Portugal, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

Walace França 52', Murilo de Souza Costa 81'.

Did Moneyball predict Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 1.75, was right: 1-2 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

Murilo de Souza Costa, rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

D. Rosa.