Sabah 1-2 Borussia Dortmund: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Champions League Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October 2026 · Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu, Baku · referee Javier Alberola Rojas · full time
Full time: Sabah 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund won 2-1 away at Sabah in Champions League Matchday 3 on Tuesday 20 October 2026. The goals: Serhou Guirassy 10', Aden McCarthy 39', Serhou Guirassy 53'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Borussia Dortmund won it
The opening goal came in the 10th minute: Serhou Guirassy for Borussia Dortmund, set up by Felix Nmecha. Sabah levelled at 1-1 in the 39th minute through Aden McCarthy, set up by Tymoteusz Puchacz. Serhou Guirassy made it 1-2 to Borussia Dortmund in the 53rd minute, set up by Joey Veerman.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Serhou Guirassy scored twice.
The referee, Javier Alberola Rojas, showed 4 yellow cards: 4 to Sabah and 0 to Borussia Dortmund.
Sabah: V. Dambrauskas, 4-2-3-1 · Borussia Dortmund: N. Kovač, 3-1-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Sabah FK +1.75, and 1-2 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Borussia Dortmund win at 70%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 0-2 (10%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.5 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 67%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 58%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Borussia Dortmund win at 71%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-20, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Sabah had 4 shots on target, Borussia Dortmund 9.
Sabah's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Borussia Dortmund had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Sabah came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Borussia Dortmund came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 2.41 expected goals for and – against, and had won 75% of their matches.
Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund: the match in numbers
| Sabah | Match statistics | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 45% | Ball possession | 55% |
| 13 | Total shots | 22 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 3 | Big chances | 7 |
| 412 | Total passes | 501 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 6 | Offsides | 2 |
| 10 | Tackles | 12 |
| 6 | Saves | 3 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Serhou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Sabah
- Aden McCarthy 7.7 1 goal
- Akim Zedadka 7.3
- Stas Pokatilov 7.0
- Ivan Lepinjica 6.9
- Christian Nwachukwu 6.9
Borussia Dortmund
- Serhou Guirassy 8.9 2 goals
- Joey Veerman 8.5 1 assist
- Carney Chukwuemeka 7.5
- Julian Ryerson 7.2
- Felix Nmecha 7.1 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Fábio Silva at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Sabah: Sabah vs FC Barcelona Wednesday 25 November 2026 · Champions League
- Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund
What was the score in Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund?
Sabah 1-2 Borussia Dortmund (half-time 1-1), Champions League, Tuesday 20 October 2026.
Who scored in Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund?
Serhou Guirassy 10', Aden McCarthy 39', Serhou Guirassy 53'.
Did Moneyball predict Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund correctly?
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Sabah FK +1.75, and 1-2 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund?
Serhou Guirassy, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund?
Javier Alberola Rojas.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.