Rubin Kazan 1-0 Fakel: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Rubin Kazan won it

Eddie Salcedo put Rubin Kazan ahead in the 38th minute.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, D. Kashirin, showed 7 yellow cards: 4 to Rubin Kazan and 3 to Fakel.

Rubin Kazan: O. Kuzmin, 5-4-1 · Fakel: A. Rebko, 5-3-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A Rubin Kazan win was the estimate's call at 45%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 2-0 was the likeliest, 1-0 the real one.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.4 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 42%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 47%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.61 for Rubin Kazan and 1.10 for Fakel.

Fakel left about 1.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Rubin Kazan to create more, and Fakel did.

Rubin Kazan had 3 shots on target, Fakel 2.

Fakel had 58% of the ball, but Rubin Kazan took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Rubin Kazan came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.07 expected goals for and 1.41 against, and had won 29% of their matches.

Fakel came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.04 expected goals for and 1.60 against, and had won 7% of their matches.

Rubin Kazan vs Fakel: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Egor Teslenko (Rubin Kazan), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Rubin Kazan

• Egor Teslenko 7.5
• Nikita Lobov 7.3
• Eddie Salcedo 7.3 1 goal
• Evgeniy Staver 7.2
• Ignacio Saavedra 7.1

Fakel

• Abdulla Bagamaev 7.1
• R. Netfullin 6.9
• Clayton 6.9
• Anton Kovalev 6.8
• Ilnur Alshin 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Matvey Bardachev at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Rubin Kazan: Rubin Kazan vs Zenit Saturday 21 November 2026 · Russian Premier League
• Fakel: Akron vs Fakel Saturday 21 November 2026 · Russian Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Rubin Kazan vs Fakel

What was the score in Rubin Kazan vs Fakel?

Rubin Kazan 1-0 Fakel (half-time 1-0), Russian Premier League, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Rubin Kazan vs Fakel?

Eddie Salcedo 38'.

Did Moneyball predict Rubin Kazan vs Fakel correctly?

A Rubin Kazan win was the estimate's call at 45%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 2-0 was the likeliest, 1-0 the real one.

Who was man of the match in Rubin Kazan vs Fakel?

Egor Teslenko, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Rubin Kazan vs Fakel?

D. Kashirin.