River Plate 1-0 Racing Club: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How River Plate won it

The opening goal came in the 33rd minute: Lautaro Rivero for River Plate, set up by Ángel Correa.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, L. Rey Hilfer, showed 5 yellow cards: 1 to River Plate and 4 to Racing Club.

River Plate: L. Ponzio, 4-3-1-2 · Racing Club: S. Romero, 4-3-1-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A River Plate win was the estimate's call at 65%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 2-1 was the likeliest, 1-0 the real one.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.9 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 54%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 50%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.62 for River Plate and 1.54 for Racing Club.

Racing Club left about 1.5 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Racing Club created the better chances, 1.54 xG to 0.62, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected River Plate to create more, and Racing Club did.

River Plate had 5 shots on target, Racing Club 3.

Racing Club had 51% of the ball, but River Plate took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

River Plate came into it with 36 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.66 expected goals for and 0.74 against, and had won 53% of their matches.

Racing Club came into it with 34 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.22 expected goals for and 1.72 against, and had won 29% of their matches.

River Plate vs Racing Club: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Lautaro Rivero (River Plate), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

River Plate

• Lautaro Rivero 8.2 1 goal
• Ángel Correa 7.8 1 assist
• Thiago Almada 7.7
• Santiago Beltrán 7.5
• Nicolás Otamendi 7.4

Racing Club

• Ignacio Rodríguez 7.3
• Gastón Lodico 7.2
• Tomás Conechny 7.1
• Gonzalo Escudero 6.9
• Francisco Fraga 6.6

The lowest-rated starter was Alejandro Tello at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• River Plate: River Plate vs Lanús Sunday 22 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about River Plate vs Racing Club

What was the score in River Plate vs Racing Club?

River Plate 1-0 Racing Club (half-time 1-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Sunday 25 October 2026.

Who scored in River Plate vs Racing Club?

Lautaro Rivero 33'.

Did Moneyball predict River Plate vs Racing Club correctly?

A River Plate win was the estimate's call at 65%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 2-1 was the likeliest, 1-0 the real one.

Who was man of the match in River Plate vs Racing Club?

Lautaro Rivero, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed River Plate vs Racing Club?

L. Rey Hilfer.