Rio Ave 0-4 Famalicão: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Famalicão won it

The opening goal came in the 48th minute: Roméo Beney for Famalicão, set up by Rodrigo Pinheiro. Pedro Santos made it 0-2 to Famalicão in the 80th minute, set up by Sorriso. Óscar Aranda made it 0-3 to Famalicão in the 85th minute, set up by Pedro Santos. Óscar Aranda from the penalty spot made it 0-4 to Famalicão in the 90th minute (+5).

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Óscar Aranda scored twice.

The referee, H. Carvalho, showed 4 yellow cards: 4 to Rio Ave and 0 to Famalicão.

Rio Ave: V. Freire De Seabra, 4-2-3-1 · Famalicão: R. Ferreira Pinto da Silva, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Famalicão win the most likely outcome at 41%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-2 rather than 0-4.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.5 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 47%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 52%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.51 for Rio Ave and 0.34 for Famalicão.

Rio Ave scored about 1.5 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Famalicão made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.7 goals.

Rio Ave created the better chances, 1.51 xG to 0.34, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Famalicão to create more, and Rio Ave did.

Rio Ave had 2 shots on target, Famalicão 5.

Rio Ave had 58% of the ball, but Famalicão took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Rio Ave came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 0.71 expected goals for and 1.77 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Famalicão came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.87 expected goals for and 1.22 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Rio Ave vs Famalicão: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Óscar Aranda (Famalicão), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Rio Ave

• Georgios Liavas 6.8
• Jalen Blesa 6.8
• Andreas Ntoi 6.7
• Diogo Nascimento 6.6
• Miguel Almeida Patrício 6.6

Famalicão

• Óscar Aranda 8.3 2 goals
• Pedro Santos 7.8 1 goal, 1 assist
• Sorriso 7.6 1 assist
• Roméo Beney 7.5 1 goal
• Mathias de Amorim 7.4

The lowest-rated starter was Francisco Petrasso at 5.6. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

Questions about Rio Ave vs Famalicão

What was the score in Rio Ave vs Famalicão?

Rio Ave 0-4 Famalicão (half-time 0-0), Liga Portugal, Sunday 25 October 2026.

Who scored in Rio Ave vs Famalicão?

Roméo Beney 48', Pedro Santos 80', Óscar Aranda 85', Óscar Aranda 90+5'.

Did Moneyball predict Rio Ave vs Famalicão correctly?

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Famalicão win the most likely outcome at 41%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-2 rather than 0-4.

Who was man of the match in Rio Ave vs Famalicão?

Óscar Aranda, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Rio Ave vs Famalicão?

H. Carvalho.