Real Sociedad 1-0 Rayo Vallecano: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Real Sociedad won it

The opening goal came in the 67th minute: Orri Óskarsson for Real Sociedad, set up by Ander Barrenetxea.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, J. Martínez Munuera, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Real Sociedad and 2 to Rayo Vallecano.

Real Sociedad: P. Matarazzo, 4-2-3-1 · Rayo Vallecano: B. San José Gil, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75, and on 1-0 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Real Sociedad win at 48%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.2 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 62%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Real Sociedad win at 52%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.03 for Real Sociedad and 1.24 for Rayo Vallecano.

Rayo Vallecano left about 1.2 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Real Sociedad had 3 shots on target, Rayo Vallecano 3.

Real Sociedad had 51% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Real Sociedad came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.35 expected goals for and 1.73 against, and had won 58% of their matches.

Rayo Vallecano came into it with 11 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.33 expected goals for and 1.77 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Orri Óskarsson (Real Sociedad), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Real Sociedad

• Orri Óskarsson 7.7 1 goal
• Álex Remiro 7.5
• Ander Barrenetxea 7.4 1 assist
• Igor Zubeldia 7.3
• Luka Sucic 7.3

Rayo Vallecano

• Unai López 7.2
• Andrei Rațiu 7.1
• Florian Lejeune 7.0
• Giorgi Tsitaishvili 6.9
• Sergio Camello 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Jorge de Frutos at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Real Sociedad: Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga
• Rayo Vallecano: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Saturday 21 November 2026 · La Liga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano

What was the score in Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?

Real Sociedad 1-0 Rayo Vallecano (half-time 0-0), La Liga, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?

Orri Óskarsson 67'.

Did Moneyball predict Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75, and on 1-0 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?

Orri Óskarsson, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?

J. Martínez Munuera.