MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Real Salt Lake 2-1 LA Galaxy: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Real Salt Lake 2-1 LA Galaxy

Real Salt Lake beat LA Galaxy 2-1 in MLS on Sunday 8 November 2026 at America First Field. The goals: Sergi Solans 10', Zach Booth 13'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.

How Real Salt Lake won it

The opening goal came in the 10th minute: Sergi Solans for Real Salt Lake, set up by Noel Caliskan. Zach Booth made it 2-0 to Real Salt Lake in the 13th minute. An own goal by Luc De Fougerolles made it 2-1 to LA Galaxy in the 40th minute.

It was 2-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, J. Dickerson, showed 5 yellow cards: 4 to Real Salt Lake and 1 to LA Galaxy.

Real Salt Lake: P. Mastroeni, 3-4-3 · LA Galaxy: G. Vanney, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The pre-match estimate had 2-1 as the single most likely score (9%). That is the score it ended.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 63%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.69 for Real Salt Lake and 2.56 for LA Galaxy.

Real Salt Lake scored about 1.3 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

LA Galaxy left about 1.6 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

LA Galaxy created the better chances, 2.56 xG to 0.69, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Real Salt Lake to create more, and LA Galaxy did.

Real Salt Lake had 9 shots on target, LA Galaxy 0.

LA Galaxy's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

LA Galaxy had 59% of the ball, but Real Salt Lake took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Real Salt Lake came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.50 expected goals for and 1.49 against, and had won 38% of their matches.

LA Galaxy came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.51 expected goals for and 2.06 against, and had won 32% of their matches.

Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy: the match in numbers

Real Salt LakeMatch statisticsLA Galaxy
41%Ball possession59%
0.69Expected goals (xG)2.56
20Total shots13
9Shots on target0
5Big chances1
374Total passes524
81%Pass accuracy86%
6Corners9
12Fouls10
1Offsides1
12Tackles14
0Saves6
4Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Noel Caliskan (Real Salt Lake), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Real Salt Lake

LA Galaxy

The lowest-rated starter was Joseph Paintsil at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy

What was the score in Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy?

Real Salt Lake 2-1 LA Galaxy (half-time 2-1), MLS, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy?

Sergi Solans 10', Zach Booth 13'.

Did Moneyball predict Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy correctly?

The pre-match estimate had 2-1 as the single most likely score (9%). That is the score it ended.

Who was man of the match in Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy?

Noel Caliskan, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy?

J. Dickerson.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.